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I think that the phrase it's far better to owe 15% of your income for 10 to 25 years is raising eyebrows.
Aren't most loans a fixed dollar amount at a given interest rate (that may be a variable rate)? Is a percentage of income arrangement a current possibility? I can see some perverse incentives in such an arragement.
Google for "Income Based Loan Repayment"
And yes, my numbers work out. If he became a specialist and made $250,000 per year (the military pays about 120) he would be ahead by nearly 100 grand per year when he is an attending, even after taking off 15%. Even if he went to Tufts medical school. The math is a little more complicated because there are various military perks you have to factor in (such as more pay as a resident) but it's pretty clear his choice is financially a losing proposition. The amount of money he loses in total depends both on what specialty he chooses and possible future changes to reimbursement. However, were he to become an orthopedic surgeon or some other highly paid specialty, he'd be behind by a couple million dollars, easily, over the 8-12 years he would owe for repayment.
Also, I'm factoring in average salaries versus military pay. Thing is, if one is willing to make sacrifices (work in a less desirable location/work more hours/take more call/do hair transplants, etc) one can make considerably more money than average as a physician. Or can work less hours and make less. In the military, you work the number of hours they tell you to work, and you're paid what Congress decides to pay you. What a deal.
And, you see, the only real reason for him to join the military now rather than later as an attending is to collect on those financial incentives. He won't be serving his country in a meaningful way until he's an attending. Yet, if those incentives stink, it's a losing proposition.
As for people yelling at me for predicting doom and gloom : again, it could work out. Maybe he'd end up a super-star like some of the anecdotal accounts given above. However, he's giving up an enormous number of choices he could make instead, and I think he's drastically lowering his probability of success and/or happiness.
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