- Joined
- Jun 23, 2003
- Messages
- 15,455
- Reaction score
- 6,725
Just stay the hell out of Philly and we're good.You wouldn't undercut me would you? I already offered half the rate plus I would index everything so I'd beat his advisor over time too.
Just stay the hell out of Philly and we're good.You wouldn't undercut me would you? I already offered half the rate plus I would index everything so I'd beat his advisor over time too.
Just stay the hell out of Philly and we're good.
I would feel bad taking 0.5% from some sucker only to put their money in VTSAX and VTIAX.
Fair question. Not really today since I read some Bogleheads today, but on most days its allowed me to not think about the subject of investing and spend the time doing something else (like biking, spending time with family, or learning another language) instead of reading and studying index funds to the point I feel confident enough to DIY. If you couldn't tell already, I dont enjoy reading about it even though I know it's for own benefit. So yeah, 1% is steep but I havent lost sleep over it. If I start to think its steep, I just remind myself of how I was doing for the 10 years before. Life is short and I dont want so spend it reading on a subject I find tedious.
Although, recently i have found it a little more interesting partly due to all you guys.
I would feel bad taking 0.5% from some sucker only to put their money in VTSAX and VTIAX.
It doesn't have to be a hobby. You can go the next twenty years and not look at the price of the S&P500 and you'd still outperform almost every advisor over that time.
Investing yourself, requires no time at all. It's all autocontributed
So what would you do in a deep and prolonged recession? Besides investing more. Would I have to spend time researching to know where I need to shift investments, or is the solution to just keep to the same index fund (or invest more)?
It doesn't have to be a hobby. You can go the next twenty years and not look at the price of the S&P500 and you'd still outperform almost every advisor over that time.
Investing yourself, requires no time at all. It's all autocontributed
It doesn't have to be a hobby. You can go the next twenty years and not look at the price of the S&P500 and you'd still outperform almost every advisor over that time.
Investing yourself, requires no time at all. It's all autocontributed
In a previous post, you were kind enough to tell me about 3 index funds but you also added the caveat that it's not one shoe fits all, and that I have to figure out my risk tolerance.
In my case, my CFP helped me figure out my risk tolerance though a methodological approach but it actually differed quite a bit from what I thought it was. In any case, finding the shoe that fits and my risk tolerance seems like it would take me some time if i were to DIY. Time that I'd rather spend on something else.
Dont get me wrong, I'm not lazy about everything. You want help learning French, Japanese, or Korean? I'm there. You need a hand remodeling your home? I can help you out and probably save you a lot along the way.. Need someone to teach you how to fix a flat tire on your bike? I can do it pretty quickly. You want to get into pharma? I have a pretty good success rate of helping friends get in. But not when it comes to investing. I dont enjoy reading about it, or thinking about it. And because of that,I'm not confident about my own choices when it comes to investing meaningfully. My trading account that I play around with has gained over 300% in the past 2 years but I attribute that more to luck then skill- it's also one of the reasons my NW has doubled in less than 5 years.
If you didnt tell me about those 3 funds, I probably wouldn't have narrowed down all the information out there to those 3. Even if I did, I'd still have concerns.
In a previous post, you were kind enough to tell me about 3 index funds but you also added the caveat that it's not one shoe fits all, and that I have to figure out my risk tolerance.
In my case, my CFP helped me figure out my risk tolerance though a methodological approach but it actually differed quite a bit from what I thought it was. In any case, finding the shoe that fits and my risk tolerance seems like it would take me some time if i were to DIY. Time that I'd rather spend on something else.
Dont get me wrong, I'm not lazy about everything. You want help learning French, Japanese, or Korean? I'm there. You need a hand remodeling your home? I can help you out and probably save you a lot along the way.. Need someone to teach you how to fix a flat tire on your bike? I can do it pretty quickly. You want to get into pharma? I have a pretty good success rate of helping friends get in. But not when it comes to investing. I dont enjoy reading about it, or thinking about it. And because of that,I'm not confident about my own choices when it comes to investing meaningfully. My trading account that I play around with has gained over 300% in the past 2 years but I attribute that more to having a good friend than skill- it's also one of the reasons my NW has doubled in less than 5 years. For my accounts that are considered AUM, I'm aware what I'm giving to my CFP but I dont lose sleep at night. Before my CFP, I was probably losing money. Now I have the peace of mind to gamble with my trading accout.
If you didnt tell me about those 3 funds, I probably wouldn't have narrowed down all the information out there to those 3. Even if I did, I'd still have concerns.
Edit: just skip this and read the post above.
Your goal as an individual investor is simple, make the same amount as the market. You know if you do this over a 15 year period you will outperform over 90% of active managers. (Source the internet)
But regardless, when I first sought an active manager I wasnt looking to outperform the market. I was looking for someone to keep me on track of reaching specific financial goals by certain ages regardless of market conditions.
From what I read (also internet source), over 30 years (2 recessions) a good active manager consistently outperforms the market.
That's exactly what autocontributing does, keeps you on track
Good luck finding one of the 8% that outperform.
Are you willing to say how much you paid your advisor last year?
It's 0.08% (not 0.8), which is dirt cheap...I didn't realize that Schwab's target date funds are only 0.8%
It's 0.08% (not 0.8), which is dirt cheap...
From what I read (also internet source), over 30 years (3 recessions) a good active manager consistently outperforms the market.
Does that include the fees they charge you?
You don't buy once and leave it there forever, never putting in any new money. If you do that, you will get 6%/yr and no one invest like that. You just picked the worst period. Counting the lost decade and you still get 6%, that's pretty amazing. Every time you dump money into a stock fund, that money has a different return for the year after. On average, you will make 10%/yr.It does not include fees. If you include fees, I guess it depends how much they're outperforming the market by.
If you accept that the market return from 2000 to the beginning of 2017 was 6.25% after adjusting for inflation, I think it's reasonable to say that long term market return is about 6-7% after inflation adjustment in a 30 year period...spanning across 3 recessions and 2 wars.
Most professional asset managers considered good to competent expect to make 8-10%, making their clients money consistently. They won't beat the market's rate of return when the market is doing really well, but they were able to make money for their clients in 2008 when the market fell 37%. Over a period of time that includes recessions and crashes, they're likely to outperform the market. The longer that period of time is and the more recessions there are, the higher the probability they'll outperform the market return.
Regardless of of the above, the most important point is most clients don't hire an asset manager with the goal of outperforming the market. Their primary motivation is not to maximize market returns while paying the least fees. They're paying for a higher measure of predictability and for convenience. Not just long term predictability, but predictability at any point in time regardless of market conditions. Maybe it's more accurate to say that the measure of how good a professional asset manager is by how close a client's assets actually come to the predicted amount by target date, no matter the current market condition...not by their rate of return during the past 10 years.
Even if a client's planned target retirement date arrives in the middle of a deep recession, the likelihood that their finances match planned target amounts should still be very high even after fees. At that point, most clients aren't crying about fees...they're happy things are happening according to plan and the convenience factor. Theres a reason why if given the choice between a pension or 401k, many would choose a pension plan - people like day-to-day predictability. People are willing to pay exorbitant fees for predictability and convenience, but hey it's relative. What is exorbitant for you is a worthwhile convenience to another. And let's face it, using an asset manager is as close as someone can come to not lifting a finger - they even do all the setup and username/pw creating for you. Everything you need to know or do is pretty much a quick phone call to the same person, even if you're on the road driving. And if something happens to me, it gives me peace of mind that my beneficiary already know who to call and the financial transition will be easy.
It does not include fees. If you include fees, I guess it depends how much they're outperforming the market by.
If you accept that the market return from 2000 to the beginning of 2017 was 6.25% after adjusting for inflation, I think it's reasonable to say that long term market return is about 6-7% after inflation adjustment in a 30 year period...spanning across 3 recessions and 2 wars.
Most professional asset managers considered good to competent expect to make 8-10%, making their clients money consistently. They won't beat the market's rate of return when the market is doing really well, but they were able to make money for their clients in 2008 when the market fell 37%. Over a period of time that includes recessions and crashes, they're likely to outperform the market. The longer that period of time is and the more recessions there are, the higher the probability they'll outperform the market return.
Regardless of of the above, the most important point is most clients don't hire an asset manager with the goal of outperforming the market. Their primary motivation is not to maximize market returns while paying the least fees. They're paying for a higher measure of predictability and for convenience. Not just long term predictability, but predictability at any point in time regardless of market conditions. Maybe it's more accurate to say that the measure of how good a professional asset manager is by how close a client's assets actually come to the predicted amount by target date, no matter the current market condition...not by their rate of return during the past 10 years.
Even if a client's planned target retirement date arrives in the middle of a deep recession, the likelihood that their finances match planned target amounts should still be very high even after fees. At that point, most clients aren't crying about fees...they're happy things are happening according to plan and the convenience factor. Theres a reason why if given the choice between a pension or 401k, many would choose a pension plan - people like day-to-day predictability. People are willing to pay exorbitant fees for predictability and convenience, but hey it's relative. What is exorbitant for you is a worthwhile convenience to another. And let's face it, using an asset manager is as close as someone can come to not lifting a finger - they even do all the setup and username/pw creating for you. Everything you need to know or do is pretty much a quick phone call to the same person, even if you're on the road driving. And if something happens to me, it gives me peace of mind that my beneficiary already know who to call and the financial transition will be easy.
Yep gotta agree with Momus here, it is well known that money managers do not beat the market.
The thing that gets me the most is you keep saying it's all about convenience. Well if that's true, that's a horrible reason since autocontributing does exactly that.
You will have to show me a source showing managers beating the market because everything I ever see shows under 10% which means you are most likely to find a person that makes you less then getting lucky.
Not only that but a lot of those managers not only underperform but it's by a large margin. There are gold bug managers that have been on gold since it's previous high and they are just now breaking even after about 8 years. These people are now getting new clients and they very well might be buying at the top again.
Holding strong on gold myself though for now. Taking some off the table though soon.
I think you guys are still missing the point, because you're fixating on beating vs not beating the market.
Clients don't pay a 1% fee (or whatever it is) for their CFP / assets manager to beat the market. That is not the service they provide.
It would be more accurate to say they're paid to manage a project with several work streams, and to make sure the project delivers on schedule. A brokerage account is just 1 of those workstreams, and the market is a tool.
Whether they outperform or underperform on one those workstreams is of no consequence, as long as the project delivers on schedule.
Just like any project manager, they're expected to continually assess risks to the project, resolve unforeseen issues, and provide periodic updates. Its expected that the environment is going to be dynamic rather than static.
I dont know if it's common or not for people in pharma to use a CFP, but I know more than a few that do. Whereas when I worked in retail, I didnt know a single one. Maybe outsourcing is just something that becomes second nature to some of us. Or maybe the nature of compensation leads to more frequent unforeseen events that we seek financial advice on.
Please tell me all the things your CFP does for you.
Also just so we're clear, its not to make more money or convenience anymore?
I have nothing to back this up but I would be willing to say any pharmacist that uses a CFP would say it's for those two reasons plus they think it's hard to do it on their own.
Which is completely false.
It does have to do with predictability and convenience. It's not about more money.
Predictability because clients want a high degree of assurance that the project objectives are met when they are predicted to be met.
Convenience because clients dont want to manage the project entirely on their own.
And finally, its not about having more money so much as having the predicted amount of money at a predetermined date regardless how the market has been. If theres more, great. But a CFP isnt paid to deliver more...they're paid to deliver the expected results on time.
I'm sorry @wazoodog but it just seems like you are trying to convince yourself to keep your CFP
I might already be 80% convinced. But hey, give yourself credit for the 20% doubt. I was probably 100% convinced before. The thing is, I hear you guys go back to emphasizing things that dont directly counter the chief reasons why a CFP is used.
Yes I hear you that they wont outperform the market. But I didnt hire them for that purpose.
Yes I hear you that the fee sounds like a lot and the point it clear that you think jts pretty effortless. But TBH, I have to do spend some time reading just to phrase the questions the right way. Maybe I'll come to enjoy it more and be on the way to DIY, but theres a lot of people who would rather spend that time on something else.
I think they are a CFP.Is it me or does wazoodog sound like that hedgehog guy?
Convenience=autocontribute. No management on your own is needed. Zero time is put in.
Predictability=your fund will do exactly what the market does
Imagine paying $5000/yr to chit chat with some rando today.
Later on, when you are 70 yo with a balance of $17M
What do you do when you get suddenly get a lump sum payout of 150k for severance package, or a 175k relocation bonus 2 years later, or a stock payout 8 months later as your startup gets acquired? Or any number of life events that might affect how much you want to auto contribute?
I want more predictability than the market offers. The market is 100% risk. You can expect it to give you a certain rate of return over a certain period of time, but what happens if the market crashes a year before your target retirement date and still hasn't started recovery? A CFP looks to get you to your goals even under such circumstances through counter market securities.
What do you do when you get suddenly get a lump sum payout of 150k for severance package, or a 175k relocation bonus 2 years later, or a stock payout 8 months later as your startup gets acquired? Or any number of life events that might affect how much you want to auto contribute?
I want more predictability than the market offers. The market is 100% risk. You can expect it to give you a certain rate of return over a certain period of time, but what happens if the market crashes a year before your target retirement date and still hasn't started recovery? A CFP looks to get you to your goals even under such circumstances through counter market securities.
It's a rarity for me to get upset with a complete stranger but this guy is so ......... that I'm done here.
Maybe one more response.
You want predictability. Go 50/50 stocks and bonds
For heaven's sake though, never give people money for no reason.
This CFP is selling snake oil to you, he said he could avoid market crash. The best one is charming, he can be your best friend. I guess he already got you by the balls.What do you do when you get suddenly get a lump sum payout of 150k for severance package, or a 175k relocation bonus 2 years later, or a stock payout 8 months later as your startup gets acquired? Or any number of life events that might affect how much you want to auto contribute?
I want more predictability than the market offers. The market is 100% risk. You can expect it to give you a certain rate of return over a certain period of time, but what happens if the market crashes a year before your target retirement date and still hasn't started recovery? A CFP looks to get you to your goals even under such circumstances through counter market securities.
So you don't believe me when I say no time is put in when doing it yourself and you can predict with 100% certainty your portfolio will perform exactly as the market?
...managing their own investment, too lazy to read a book to better inform themselves and rebalance once a yr.
Please tell me all the things your CFP does for you.
Is it me or does wazoodog sound like that hedgehog guy?
Although a CFP collects his fee based on %AUM, the scope of work is quite a bit broader than just managing assets the fee percentage is based off of. It's a bit tedious for me to list all the things they do so I won't, but if you're ever curious enough I guess you can go and speak to one (probably at no or minimal cost) - they would probably do a better job describing what they do for clients. At a high level, they manage progress of your financial goals. An example of 1 financial goal might be finding the best life insurance policy that integrates well into overall investment strategy - maybe an indexed universal life policy. As risk tolerance changes, or market conditions change, job changes, or unforseen life events occur (or even don't occur as predicted)...a re-assessment might distribute the balance in the IUL to other investments while changing to a very different type of life insurance policy - again researched by the CFP to find the one that best fits overall strategy. The balance in an IUL wouldn't necessarily be part of the %AUM, even though the CFP researched, advised, and set it up. And frankly, it may not take them that long - but it's not about how much time it took the CFP...it's more about how much of my time was saved.
He drank the Kool aid.Sweet lord this dude is taking you for a ride. Please tell me you aren't buying a product that is mixing investments with life insurance. Those pretty much always screw the consumer.
Sweet lord this dude is taking you for a ride. Please tell me you aren't buying a product that is mixing investments with life insurance. Those pretty much always screw the consumer.