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But here's the rub. Even in fully funded PhD programs, trainees who have no backup or safety net can find themselves accruing debt when reasonable expenses (medical bills, professional travel, housing) outpace their stipends. All sorts of things can tip the balance of income and expenses. I personally agree with the White Coat Investor's advice about loan to income ratio and have lived within it. Telling people that it's possible to - or that they ought to - graduate totally debt-free tacitly assumes a few things: (a) they have a safety net or a consistent additional source of income, (b) nothing bad will happen to them or close family members while living on a graduate stipend, and/or (c) the stars align and the advice of "aim for a low COL area" does not conflict with "go to whatever funded program you can get into."
It does not assume that at all. For the anecdotes here, I can supply many of my own, myself included that did not have a safety net, did not have parents paying for undergrad or grad school, and did have things happen while in grad school that posed financial challenges (car issues, surgeries, etc). I agree that when we look at the group differences, we see plenty of that, but I bet a good deal of variance is soaked up in those who choose the diploma mills simply because they didn't want to seek out volunteer research opportunities, or take the time to beef up their CV. I'm all for changing aspects of the system, but not at the cost of infantilizing people.