I have some issues with this trial...
1. What on earth happened here?
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Explanation:
Patients were treated in their assigned group except in two scenarios: patients assigned to receive IMPT were denied insurance and therefore crossed over to the IMRT group; or patients assigned to receive IMRT were approved for IMPT insurance, refused randomisation to the IMRT group, and crossed over to the IMPT group. The treating physicians had no role in crossover consideration.
This may induce a bias, since those with a "better" insurance are likely the more wealthy (and more healthy?) patients.
2.
We assumed a non-inferiority margin of 9 percentage points for progression-free survival at 3 years, which was estimated relative to historical data showing an 80% overall survival estimate at 3 years for patients given concurrent systemic therapy with IMRT.
9% absolute difference in PFS would be considered non-inferior?
For real?
3. Also interesting
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This does not look like the typical race/ethnicity distribution, found in the US community, esp. not in Texas where the majority of the patients were included.
This looks like... Iceland, maybe? Colder than Texas.
4. The statement that IMPT should be considered a new standard of care, is mainly based on the fact that OS was higher in the proton arm.
Overall survival rates after IMPT were 90·9% at 5 years versus 81·0% after IMRT (HR 0·58 [95% CI 0·34–0·99]; p=0·045)
Was this trial designed or powered to show OS superiority? No.
Why was OS better in the proton arm? We don't know.
Curves separate at 3 years. The bulk of the difference seems to come from disease-related events, with 12 additional "tumor-related" events in the IMRT group. Interestingly, the authors also counted 2 suicide-events in the IMRT-group as "tumor-related". Since progression rates are the same with IMRT/IMPT, one questions why half-more patients with a a recurrence died in the IMRT group, compared with the IMPT group?
There is no mention of post-progression therapies in the paper, which I find odd.
Interestingly, in the per protocol analysis, the OS benefit seen with IMPT is no longer statistically significant.
In per-protocol analyses, overall survival rates in the IMPT group were 93·4% (88·0–96·4) at 3 years and 91·8% (85·1–95·6) at 5 years; in the IMRT group, these were 92·0% (85·0–95·2) at 3 years and 82·2% (72·8–87·9) at 5 years; the HR for overall survival was 0·55 (0·30–1·03; p=0·057)
My bits, so far.