Statistical question : AAMC data grid for matriculants/applicants by MCAT and GPA

PigsHaveWings

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May 10, 2020
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The AAMC data grid for the admission bracket grid stops at GPA 3.79+ and MCAT score > 517. This set includes 7848 applicants and 6893 matriculants which equals an acceptance probability of 87%

1. Are there any subset datasets slicing that population to look at acceptance rates within that bracket? For instance GPA 3.9+ with MCAT > 522 etc.?

2. Do these data subsets not exist because ADCOMs lump all applicants with GPA >3.8 and MCAT >517 together for application review and admission process and there is no significant change in acceptance rates between subsets there ?

3. When you examine acceptance 50th percentile for MCAT and GPA for the top 20 schools from the MSAR, it is 519 and 3.94, so it is odd, that AAMC doesnt slice the data beyond GPA 3.8 and MCAT 517. I would suspect that the acceptance rates at these institutions could be different for a GPA 3.8/MCAT517 versus applicants with GPA 3.95/MCAT525

any comments @LizzyM @TheDataKing @Mr.Smile12 @Faha @Goro @Lawpy @gyngyn @WedgeDawg
 

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Faha

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There are older datasets with the old MCAT that show that applicants with the equivalent of a GPA of 3.9+ and a MCAT of 522+ have a 93% chance for a MD acceptance. One would wonder why any high stat applicants would not be accepted. There are reasons that 10% of these applicants are not accepted and they would be these:
Applied late in the cycle: September to October and submitted secondaries late (November)
Applied to a top heavy list of schools (only top 20 schools) or applied to too few schools (only 4 or 5).
Bad LOR
Poor interviewing skills
Many of these applicants were probably on the waitlist somewhere but never received an acceptance. Many were probably accepted on their 2nd or 3rd application.
 
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LizzyM

the evil queen of numbers
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There are older datasets with the old MCAT that show that applicants with the equivalent of a GPA of 3.9+ and a MCAT of 522+ have a 93% chance for a MD acceptance. One would wonder why any high stat applicants would not be accepted. There are reasons that 10% of these applicants are not accepted and they would be these:
Applied late in the cycle: September to October and submitted secondaries late (November)
Applied to a top heavy list of schools (only top 20 schools) or applied to too few schools (only 4 or 5).
Bad LOR
Poor interviewing skills
Many of these applicants were probably on the waitlist somewhere but never received an acceptance. Many were probably accepted on their 2nd or 3rd application.

Family Feud #1 answer is.... poor interviewing skills
#2 answer: too little clinical exposure
#3 sloppy application/poorly written secondaries
#4 evidence of immaturity/poor motivation for medicine

It is possible to be book smart and a good test taker and have no business being in medical school.
 
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