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A good question for those that don’t know is why would a bank fail if there was a “run” on them? 

The prior administration reduced regulation and lessened safety margins for banks, which is why a "stress test" didn't work in this scenario. The threshold for stress testing and more regulation went from 50 billion to 250 billion. A question to ask is how many other niche or smaller banks, esp those w/ heavy long term bond interest rate risk like SVB had, can fall through the cracks and collapse.
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i wonder what the publics reaction will be to his action by the government in the future. will it be another 'bail out the rich' like 2008 type of reaction?
its because SVB invested like 90B or something ridiculous in long term bonds at 1.7% interest rate. now interest 2.5x and its worth way less. Furthermore, they had no interest risk hedge which is insane for a bank their size. they didnt even have a chief risk person for close to a year. every bank need to hedge their risks or risk getting wiped out. they also didnt understand basic macroeconomics. rate went up, funding was drying up, so startup clearly need to withdraw more money and use their savings. so more outflow. so bank need liquidity.Okay,
I need someone to explain this whole situation to me like I was 10 years old - because there are somethings I don't understand.
I get why SVB was stressed.
They bought bonds (the safest investment anyone could make) that paid (let's make up a number) 1.5%, probably long term.
Interest rates rise, so the secondary market price for those treasury bonds drop. But who cares, because if you hold them to maturity, you still make money. BUT, it sounds like SVB needed some liquidity, so they had to sells those BONDS at a loss. But that is investing and really not a big deal. It is unclear to me WHY the word started spreading that money needed to be withdrawn, which I think the real crook is the guy that started this whole thing by telling his clients to withdraw all their money from SVB. That's like yelling "FIRE" in a crowd.
Anyway, here are my questions:
#1: Why are people saying that SVB was being risky? or that the CEO should go to jail? What did they do that was risky? T-Bills risky?
#2: Why would SVB failing, cause other banks stress? We know another bank failed today. I don't understand the connection - unless it caused others to run on smaller banks.
I think you are mixing two similar but different things. No bank will survive if 100% of their customers withdraw their money. THey'll have no deposits to work with. No bank will survive a full bank run. Also customers really have no reason to just run the bank...Here is what I would like someone to answer.
I've tried reading a lot of stuff about this but can't find a good answer.
SVB had a "run" of 42 billion.
People are criticizing the deregulation that made it so SVB didn't have to undergo the federal stress test annually.
So - IF they were part of the stress test, would it have made a difference? Because 42 billion is likely MORE than what the stress test required.
And like a said before, ANY bank would fail, no matter the amount of regulation, if there is a sufficient RUN on them.
Because the guy who started it seems to only want to engage in political fodder rather than the expressed subject of this forum. Political threads devolve, complaints are received and threads are shut down. Figured I would get out ahead of this one. There are more appropriate forums on this site for you and your little friend to argue politics.By the way, to answer your excellent and fun question you asked in another thread, but for some very strange and unclear reason, @Arch Guillotti closed it - I am whatever party Yang claims. I love that guy.
Why would you cave to complainers? That is strange.Because the guy who started it seems to only want to engage in political fodder rather than the expressed subject of this forum. Political threads devolve, complaints are received and threads are shut down. Figured I would get out ahead of this one. There are more appropriate forums on this site for you and your little friend to argue politics.
Supposedly, the new facility will take the assets on the books. Long term Treasurys, MBS, whatever. Also FDIC insurance premiums paid by all banks will be increased. In addition I expect some of the major banks to pay something for the customer base. That does have some value.
We don’t cave. Most complaints are dismissed. Nothing is strange about the moderation here. It is more lax than every other forum on this site but we still adhere to basic decorum and toe the line.Why would you cave to complainers? That is strange.
Complainers can choose to not read the thread, right?
Is there a rule that I missed that each thread has to be read? I think I may be breaking the rules.
It's all a game. The statement from FDIC gov kept saying it's not tax payers money. Instead the banks will pass cost to consumers. Banking consumers and tax payers have a lot of overlap. ...but government knows most Americans won't make that connectionSo when every bank’s FDIC premiums go up, you think they’re going to just let that eat into their profits? Like hell. They’re going to stick it to their customers with higher fees and interest rates. It’s all coming from tax payers one way or another.
they just came in at 311, 4 days ago.. way lower than last monthI have a feeling things will drop again once the new employment numbers come in.
It was mostly republicans with a few dens sprinkled in.It is now widely reported that Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank aggressively lobbied for the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act. This 2018 Bipartisan law was signed by Pres Trump and exempted banks from stringent stress testing ( raising the stress capital to $250 billion from $ 50 billion)and thereby weakening the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act that was implemented in response to the financial crisis of 2008.
So if the above bill is bipartisan, aren’t both the parties equally culpable for this mess?
Looking back, 16 Senate Democrats and independent Angus King of Maine, who usually votes with Democrats, joined all the Republicans to vote for this bill.It was mostly republicans with a few dens sprinkled in.
It was as bipartisan as the Trump impeachment....It is now widely reported that Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank aggressively lobbied for the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act. This 2018 Bipartisan law was signed by Pres Trump and exempted banks from stringent stress testing ( raising the stress capital to $250 billion from $ 50 billion)and thereby weakening the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act that was implemented in response to the financial crisis of 2008.
So if the above bill is bipartisan, aren’t both the parties equally culpable for this mess?
inflation is down. its down to 6% already. CPI was like 9% sometime last year. fed is doing a good jobMan, so why won’t inflation go down? I feel like raising interest rates isn’t helping unless we’re trying to break down banks, etc.
lobbied hard for it thats why.Looking back, 16 Senate Democrats and independent Angus King of Maine, who usually votes with Democrats, joined all the Republicans to vote for this bill.
More than 90%of the Trump administration's deregulatory policies affecting almost every area such as environment/ immigration/ infrastructure etc efforts have been blocked in federal courts,or withdrawn after a lawsuit.
so how did this particularly important deregulation not get challenged or involved in a legal battle?
bank thing is over. government not letting them fail anymore. also inflation is down 6%. didnt you see sotck market today. its almost all green. bank is way upOur economy is screwed basically. Inflation is 7%, so either you raise rates to decrease inflation and maybe more banks fail due to their long term T bills or you don't raise interest rates to "save" the banks and continue inflation turning into stagflation.
Good times....
This wouldn’t bother me so much if Medicare reimbursement was tied to inflation like everything else. We have been getting screwed by governmental payers in the name of a balanced budget for so long it just stings when people who are supposedly taking calculated risks always get bailed out.Our economy is screwed basically. Inflation is 7%, so either you raise rates to decrease inflation and maybe more banks fail due to their long term T bills or you don't raise interest rates to "save" the banks and continue inflation turning into stagflation.
Good times....
This wouldn’t bother me so much if Medicare reimbursement was tied to inflation like everything else. We have been getting screwed by governmental payers in the name of a balanced budget for so long it just stings when people who are supposedly taking calculated risks always get bailed out.
As it turns out, Barney Frank, the architect of the Dodd-Frank banking regulations implemented in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, played a key role in the 2018 bipartisan effort to weaken those very same regulations he helped craft, and he downplayed the risks with the deregulation process —after he had received more than $1 million while serving on Signature Bank’s board following his departure from Congress.lobbied hard for it thats why.
Yeah we’re still doing ok thanks to subsidies but it’s a thin reed to lean on and my bigger concern is we’ll have less control of how we practice as a result of it. I’m afraid of what the job will look like when we have neither control nor other pots of money to borrow from…So we have resorted to leveraging the supply/demand imbalance. What percentage of anesthesia practices aren’t subsidized these days?
i mean its exactly how this country works. many politicians worked for big companies before. and many politicians go work on board or advisory or whatever for companies. its a huge mix.As it turns out, Barney Frank, the architect of the Dodd-Frank banking regulations implemented in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, played a key role in the 2018 bipartisan effort to weaken those very same regulations he helped craft, and he downplayed the risks with the deregulation process —after he had received more than $1 million while serving on Signature Bank’s board following his departure from Congress.
Follow the money!
In the early 1980s, interest rates on my wife's HEAL loans were 17%. I heard , Paul Voelker I believe, say inflation won't come down unless interest rates were above the inflation rate. It took several years for inflation and interest rates come down. Our first mortgage was 10.75 % and we were giddy to secure such cheap money. I believe a soft landing isn't possible with the stock market dropping and bonds getting crushed with rising interest rates. History tells us unemployment rates will have to rise also before inflation is checked..This isn't going away soon. It took from 1974 where unemployment was 7.2% till 1987 for unemployment to get to 5% where that is considered full employment. I'm not saying it will take that long, but with our gdp to debt ratio at 129%, there arent many arrows in our quiver to battle inflation. I don't believe we will see a snap back recovery.Man, so why won’t inflation go down? I feel like raising interest rates isn’t helping unless we’re trying to break down banks, etc.
It is now widely reported that Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank aggressively lobbied for the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act. This 2018 Bipartisan law was signed by Pres Trump and exempted banks from stringent stress testing ( raising the stress capital to $250 billion from $ 50 billion)and thereby weakening the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act that was implemented in response to the financial crisis of 2008.
So if the above bill is bipartisan, aren’t both the parties equally culpable for this mess?
Yes, the 2018 deregulation bill is truly bipartisan based on the facts you have posted above.Lol, you really gonna try to both-sides this?
In the House, the bill passed by a 258-159 vote with support from all but one Republican (the exception being Walter B. Jones Jr.) and 33 out of 193 Democrats. In the Senate, the bill passed by a 67-31 vote with support from all Republicans and 17 out of 47 Democrats. Within the Democratic caucuses, progressives strongly opposed the bill.[13][14]
It wasn't 67 Dem senators (there aren't that many), it was 17.Yes, the 2018 deregulation bill is truly bipartisan based on the facts you have posted above.
Getting 17 Dem senators to vote for it along with all the GOP senators while getting a filibuster-proof majority in 2018 in polarized country & congress is a feat in itself!
Now as you mention, the progressives led by Warren & Co. did vote against it in 2018, but then they never bothered to take it up again, even in 2021 and 2022, when Dems had all 3 on their side.
Of course, now Warren & Co. are floating their back-to-2008 regulation bill when they very well know that it cannot pass muster in senate and clearly not in the GOP led house at this time.
Clearly, the progressive Dems have “collective convenient amnesia”from 2018-2023. Even a broken clock gets it right x2/day-lol!
Is it to safe to say that 100% of republicans are for it excluding one lone wolf in the house? I’m not sure I would consider that “bipartisan” but technically there were a few Dems sprinkled in that turd.Yes, that’s what I stated: 17 Dem senators + all GOP senators
Yes, that’s what I stated: 17 Dem senators + all GOP senators
I have no dog in this fight, but this is ridiculous. Calling over a third of the senate democrats "a small minority" or referring to it as a "sprinkling of Democrats" is the definition is disingenuous. Republicans brought this about, but it enjoyed quite a lot of support from the Democrats, too, as all politicians are out for themselves first and foremost.Calling a bill passed by virtually 100% of republicans and a small minority of democrats "bipartisan" is essentially the definition of disingenuous. But I think you know that already.
Getting 17 opposing party members to agree with you on a piece of legislation is a G*D* miracle either way.I have no dog in this fight, but this is ridiculous. Calling over a third of the senate democrats "a small minority" or referring to it as a "sprinkling of Democrats" is the definition is disingenuous. Republicans brought this about, but it enjoyed quite a lot of support from the Democrats, too, as all politicians are out for themselves first and foremost.
I have no dog in this fight, but this is ridiculous. Calling over a third of the senate democrats "a small minority" or referring to it as a "sprinkling of Democrats" is the definition is disingenuous. Republicans brought this about, but it enjoyed quite a lot of support from the Democrats, too, as all politicians are out for themselves first and foremost.
I am also okay with calling the disastrous December 2022 bill that was passed to the tune of $2 Trillion as reckless Bipartisan failure that is going to pass the debt to the future generation for years to come. For the above, the senate voted 68-29 vote, with all Dems and “sprinkling” of republicans voting for it.
Nonetheless, I call it a “Bipartisan failure”.
Or if I apply your logic, maybe I should refer to the 2018 Deregulation bill as GOP failure ,but you wouldn’t agree to it, if I call the December 2022 Bill as Dem failure!
CNN as well as Politico, Vox, and the New York Times on a cursory search all referred to the the bill as bipartisan as well.This is just a wild take, with probably the worst offense being that many here are purposefully ignoring that Congress is a bicameral body. 33 out of 193, or a whopping 17% of house Democrats supported the bill. 17 out 47 senate dems, or a staggering 36% of Senate Democrat supported the bill.
In grand total, a fking astounding 20.8% of the democrats - not even one quarter - that represent the party in Congress voted for the bill.... but we're going to pretend the bill was bipartisan? Lmfao.
Even if a bill doesn't necessarily require an outright majority of both parties' support to be considered bipartisan, the word still connotes that there was substantive cooperation and compromise between the parties to get it done. There really wasn't in this case. And pointing to 17 dem senators who value moneyed interests over their constituents' values doesn't change that either.
CNN as well as Politico, Vox, and the New York Times on a cursory search all referred to the the bill as bipartisan as well.
And no, it doesn’t require a majority of both parties support. However, substantive appears to mean something different to you than several liberal leaning new sources.
Just seems like a weird point to double down on. Not many here arguing it wasn’t a sht bill.
No it's not, you edited the post as I was typing mine response.Yes, that’s what I stated: 17 Dem senators + all GOP senators
So what’s exactly wrong with those 17 Dem senators representing the interest of their republican-leaning constituents? Isn’t that their job to do just that? If the constituents don’t feel adequately represented, then they need to say that at the ballot box. No one is saying Democracy is perfect.CNN noted at the time that almost all of the Democratic supporters in the Senate were "either up for re-election this fall and/or from red or purple states."
My mistake. The 17 senate dems voted for it in an attempt to gain favor with their conservative and/or Republican constituents.
Yes, truly both parties are fully at fault.
So what’s exactly wrong with those 17 Dem senators representing the interest of their republican-leaning constituents? Isn’t that their job to do just that? If the constituents don’t feel adequately represented, then they need to say that at the ballot box. No one is saying Democracy is perfect.