I guess I should mention my status as a white, middle-class, male, from Long Island, which, let's be honest, does not help things. Apparently my New York State residency didn't help me either since I was rejected preinterview from all SUNY schools, including Stony Brook, which I have worked at since I was in high school and was published in a couple of studies that came out of SB. Not to mention that 2 of my LORs came from higly respected researchers (1 MD and 1 PhD) at Stony Brook.
Moral: Nothing is certain, but then again, nothing is impossible.