Hey dak. This is the news I heard from Kathy Craig on March 12th.
"The committee will meet in a couple of weeks to finalize selection of alternates, then rank them.
In the past several years, we have taken at least a couple off the list. Last year we took quite a few, but that was last year. There is no way to predict what might happen this year!
Once we have finalized you'll receive a letter then we can tell you your position.
Kathy Craig"
Other than that, I don't know too much. Good luck! I hope we both get in.