Come on, LeoGer. Just because we see things differently doesn't mean we can't be somewhat civil while arguing about it.
🙂
Looks like you're a big fan of playing the lottery.
With those odds? Sure. He says he's been making a 26-29 on his practice tests. These scores MAY not be good enough to get into medical school with a lower-range GPA (which he has), but they are not low enough to be ashamed of having on your record so long as the next test is better.
His target score is 31. He's consistently scoring a few points off in the practice tests, which are usually accurate +-3 points. That implies a POSSIBILITY that he can score well enough to actually make it into his target school on the first try. But if he DOESN'T, it's unlikely his scores will dip below a 26, so long as we assume the practice tests are accurate. A 26 will probably not get him into medical school, but it doesn't make him look like an idiot, and as long as he gets a better score the second time, adcom's below the Ivy level aren't going to care that he scored a little below average on his first try.
So yeah, I'd definitely gamble. The best case scenario is that he scores well enough to get in. The worst case scenario is that he gets a lower, but not abysmal score which has a very low chance of negatively affecting him so long as he does better the second time. On the other hand, if he voids, he could be voiding a score which will likely not hurt him, or he could be voiding a score that's good enough to get him into medical school.
Yeah, that's not a bad bet. Not at all.
A 35 isn't overkill at any MD school, but that has nothing to do with the fact that the OP isn't in a good position to score his 31.
Maybe, maybe not. But, like I said, there is no reason to believe that his state school is going to care one way or the other about a lower-end MCAT score. A 35 is a very good score, and out of reach for many pre-meds. If he's aiming for a 31, it's unlikely that getting a few points below that on his first try is going to negatively affect him. The money's already gone. Unless he thinks he's going to get below a 24 on his MCAT, it's definitely worth at least trying and hoping for the best.
This is just ridiculous. Something that's not THAT bad is still worse than the better situation. The OP hasn't made the decision which he'll have to argue isn't THAT bad instead of bad. Taking the glass is half full approach is only beneficial when you can't do anything about it. Taking the test when you're ready is not a sign of being a wonder child; it's a sign of not being a dumba*s.
What's bad is tossing money down the toilet when he's only two points out of his ideal range, and his likely score isn't going to hurt him. The money is already gone. I have never heard of an adcom giving two hoots that someone scored a 27 on the first MCAT when they bumped it up to a 31 on the second try. He's not showing signs that he's going to make a 20 on the first try, so voiding it would be absolutely ridiculous.
OP, what's the average MCAT for the accepted students into your target school? If it's a 27+, then it would be ridiculous to even think about voiding.