Simpleton....ah yes....what a great name...
You obviously are NOT from california...
Here's how we calculate how to do things.
From California: Add 8 schools to your list
Have decent but not great stats: Add another 10 schools to your list.
Have friends who have applied before but didn't get in: Add 10 schools to your list
Have advisors who told you that you're a white male and they have a better chance of finding a penny on the grond when walking to the BART station than you ever getting into med school: Look at tally and see you HAVE to add 15 more schools!
That's kind of how I figured out my schools
Three of my good friends last year. All with decent stats (3.2 and a 39; 3.8 and a 31; 3.6 and a 33)....all applied to 25+ schools. Only the last one got in...He got into Finch.
One guy that I went to go see...had worked with med schools admissions boards said "Well, your GPA is good and your MCAT is decent...but you're white...and you're a guy...I see you having a very..very..very difficult time getting into med school..have you thought about other options???"
I personally do NOT wanna do this again...so add a couple more backups to my list...
Then, the whole california thing...add the other 8 schools to my list!
And there we go. The ONLY reason I am not returning all my secondaries is b/c I have already gotten some interviews at QUALITY medical schools that if I did get into I would never dream of giving up going to those over say some lower tier schools. So basically, all the lower tier secondaries I am filling out or letting sit before I go rushing them off to schools with 100 dollar checks.
Hope this clarifies some things..