But several potential 2020 Democratic presidential candidates, including Sanders and senators Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, who
co-sponsored Sanders’ “Medicare for all” bill; Corey Booker of New Jersey; Kamala Harris of California; and Kirsten Gillibrand of New York;
have endorsed big chunks of it (the jobs guarantee plus a $15-an-hour national minimum wage, Medicare for all, and free public college tuition for everyone). So by the time voters go to the polls in November 2020, this may be Democratic orthodoxy.
That’s too bad, because not only do these radical plans not stand a chance of passing a highly polarized Congress; they’re genuinely bad ideas. Why?
Running out of money
Primarily because, repeat after me, we just can’t afford them.
Let’s start with Medicare for all. Didn’t any of these politicians read the
recent report by the trustees for Medicare and Social Security stating that the Social Security trust fund will run out of money in 2034 and Medicare’s fund will go insolvent by 2026? Truth is, with 10,000 baby boomers turning 65 every day from now until 2029, we can barely afford the
current program, let alone expanding it to the whole population.
But if we did, it — and the free-public-tuition giveaway, when barely a third of Americans have a four-year college degree — would add $32 trillion to the national debt over the following decade (or a mere $18 trillion if Sen. Sanders’ 2016 tax increases on the rich were also passed to pay for some of it), according to the Tax Policy Center.
That’s more than 10 times as much as the Republicans’ recent tax-cut giveaways to its big corporate donors are projected to add over the next decade and would, at the very least, more than double the national debt in the hands of the public, which is currently over $15 trillion.
Also, thanks to a profligate GOP, we’re
going to see trillion-dollar annual federal deficits for years to come. These plans could easily triple those annual gaps.
Howard Gleckman of the Tax Policy Center estimated the original Sanders plan would add $3 trillion in interest costs alone, calling it “an unprecedented increase in government borrowing.” By the way, the Tax Policy Center isn’t some right-wing think tank; it’s affiliated with the left of center Urban Institute and Brookings Institution. But their economists know how to add and subtract.
Krugman estimates the guaranteed-job proposal — which comes as the unemployment rate is hitting multiyear lows — would cost around $270 billion a year. Former Democratic Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers pegs the cost at $840 billion annually. And what would all these people actually do on their taxpayer-subsidized jobs?
Add the maraschino cherry on this rich cake — Ocasio-Cortez’s plan to forgive all student debt — and you get another $ 1 trillion-plus goodie. A trillion here, a trillion there, and pretty soon it’s real money.
Total price tag: anywhere from $20 trillion to $40 trillion over 10 years, depending on how much taxes would have to be raised to pay for all this.
Ever since the election, Democrats have been desperate for “big ideas” to defeat President Trump and Republicans at the polls. But these hare-brained schemes ain’t it.
Turns out, socialism doesn’t come cheap.
Democrats’ ‘socialism’ will bury us in debt we won’t be able to get out from under