Alright. I think some of us just have different desires and different worldviews so this is going to be my last argument. I am going to give a simplified scenario as food for thought.
Lets take 2 people who each have 150k to invest per year over a 25 year long career. Person A takes what I will call the "safe route" and invests alll 150k into index funds. Lets assume a reasonable yearly return of 7% over that horizon. This person, assuming they started with nothing and don't receive a large windfall, will end up with ~9.5 million at year 25.
Now person B. This person takes what I will call the "courageous route" and allocates 2/3 of his funds in index funds at 7% and 1/3 into well researched yet riskier investments (real estate, business ventures, whatever). Scenario 1 is this person's 100k invested into index funds returns 7% and their 50k invested per year is an absolute failure. They lose every cent of it every year. At year 25 this person will have ~6.3 million. I would argue that there is not a significant difference in qol in retirement on 6.3 M vs 9.5 M that person A achieved. However, lets say person B was successful and achieved an average 20% return on his riskier investments, which is actually doable with research and due diligence. Person B will have roughly 29.8 million at year 25 or at least cash flows from investements that would extrapolate to that amount (ie the net present value would be equal). Or they could potentially stop investing earlier and retire/cut back on clinical work early if they choose.
I would personally rather swing harder and go for a home run knowing that even if I strike out i am not financially ruined rather than playing it safe and ensuring a life of mediocrity.
Sometimes we have to give up on good to get to great.
Lets take 2 people who each have 150k to invest per year over a 25 year long career. Person A takes what I will call the "safe route" and invests alll 150k into index funds. Lets assume a reasonable yearly return of 7% over that horizon. This person, assuming they started with nothing and don't receive a large windfall, will end up with ~9.5 million at year 25.
Now person B. This person takes what I will call the "courageous route" and allocates 2/3 of his funds in index funds at 7% and 1/3 into well researched yet riskier investments (real estate, business ventures, whatever). Scenario 1 is this person's 100k invested into index funds returns 7% and their 50k invested per year is an absolute failure. They lose every cent of it every year. At year 25 this person will have ~6.3 million. I would argue that there is not a significant difference in qol in retirement on 6.3 M vs 9.5 M that person A achieved. However, lets say person B was successful and achieved an average 20% return on his riskier investments, which is actually doable with research and due diligence. Person B will have roughly 29.8 million at year 25 or at least cash flows from investements that would extrapolate to that amount (ie the net present value would be equal). Or they could potentially stop investing earlier and retire/cut back on clinical work early if they choose.
I would personally rather swing harder and go for a home run knowing that even if I strike out i am not financially ruined rather than playing it safe and ensuring a life of mediocrity.
Sometimes we have to give up on good to get to great.
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