I think pharmacists starting salaries, retail especially, could fall to around $50K - $60K. Podiatrists (DPM), Psychologists (PsyD), Physical Therapists (DPT or OTD) have graduates starting around $60K currently, and their academic programs are longer than the minimum years to get a PharmD. In a capitalist economy, the market determines your salary. The market was strong for PharmDs, but there are about 5 schools opening every year, with more than 30 new schools who will graduate their first class in the next 5 years. And more and more schools open every year. At this rate there will be 50 new schools produced over the last 10 years.
Saturation is inevitable and PharmD salaries could return back to where they were in the 90s before this education bubble blew up from the easy student loan debt money feeding the new private for-profit PharmD businesses. It is prevalent in all aspects of education. Degree inflation is rampant and private schools love holding people in academia for 8 years when they used to only get 5 out of us. PharmD, DPT, OTD, OD, DNP, DBA, DPM, PsyD, AuD, DNAP, JD, all these professional doctorates pop up everywhere with $30K/year tuition and 97% of it is funded by student loans. Heathcare education bubble in the making.
Almost anyone can get into A pharmacy school now, not the top schools, but they can get in. If they apply to 15 different schools they will more than likely get in somewhere. People with low GPAs and low PCAT scores get in more than you would believe.
Low quality students would gladly accept $60K, because they are not worth that much doing any other job anyway. Take 2 years of prereqs at a CC and get a 3.0gpa, score low on the pcat, get into an easy pharmacy school, and be out at the age of 23-24 making $60K with little effort and no other strong personal traits. Corporate retail giants do not care if they are getting top students, they just want the cheapest laboring RPh that they can get. Any licensed RPh can do the job in this profit driven model.
Hospital and clinical salaries will not fall, at least not by much. Organizations hiring these positons do not benefit by hiring low quality applicants because better pharmacists are more safe and efficient in this setting. DOPs don't like to deal with ****ty pharmacists.
Look at the JD degree, top candidates get the good $100K jobs, the rest of the people from the new crap private schools end up making $40-50K after 7 years and $120K in student loans.