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If there is any drop in the number of black and Hispanic matriculants to MD schools, I believe it will be only temporary. I am very confident that they will raise their game and their average gpa/mcat will go up.
When you say this, it feels like you are projecting an false illusion to cover up the reality, especially when it is based on an empty assumption that things will fix itself. What makes you so confident that they will "raise their game and their average gpa/mcat will go up."? Why won't they just quit medicine/physician for other fields?
It would be the equivalent of an African-American saying, "the low Asian representation in sports is just temporary, I am very confident they will raise their game and get into the major leagues." It's not like Asians cannot play sports at the highest level. There was Linsanity and now Shohei Ohtani who is at the top of the league. But the infrastructure and culture is not there for most Asians to pursue professional sports. It's not like there will be a sudden increase of Asians who want to overcome the barriers to get into sports. Because of the barriers, most Asian-Americans do not even consider sports as a future profession. And who knows, maybe we missed the next Steph Curry or Lebron James just because they were a different race and focused on academics.
On the other side, African-Americans have the opposite issue.
"I do this science experiment when I am in school. Let's say I am in a White school, I say 'how many want to play pro sports?' Less than 10% raise their hand. 'I wanna be a doctor, I wanna be a lawyer, I wanna be an engineer'. When I speak at Black schools, 90% of the kids want to play sports. 90%. There's a couple that wanna be doctors, which makes me proud, but 90% of the kids when I speak in Black schools... Our kids are brainwashed if they think they can only play sports or be entertainers. You have a better chance of being a doctor than being in the NBA."
And this quote by Barkley.
They put us in a box where we can only be sports and entertainers," complains Barkley, who never graduated from Auburn. "White kids grow up thinking they can be doctors, lawyers and engineers. Black kids don't think that. My goal is to get young black kids, I never talk to them about sports. Never. I say hey, you can be a doctor, lawyer, engineer, teacher, fireman, policeman, things like that. I never talk to them about playing sports. It's unrealistic.
Not only does he talk to children about careers but put his money into as well helping others.
Initiatives like these are what are needed if we want change to happen. However, changes like this is like swimming upstream where constant effort is needed. Otherwise, water flow downstream and things will happen in a predictable manner. Everyone expects a drop in URM but all of a sudden, things will reverse because they raised their game? I prefer Newton's first law of motion, inertia.He donated a million dollars to help Hurricane Katrina victims. He gave a million to an all-black Birmingham elementary school and another million to Leeds High to help students pay for college. Initially, he earmarked the Leeds scholarships for black students. Then, two years into the program, a young white girl told him, "We've got some poor white kids who want to go to college, too." The scholarships were expanded to include everyone.
Lastly, as an Asian male and ORM, there are some issues which I am face because of who I was born as. I am male and if some woman does not want me to examine their privates and would prefer a female physician, I will accommodate that. If someone cannot speak English and wants a doctor who speaks their language, that is their preference and I am okay with that. If someone has a distrust for the medical system because they are used to radical discrimination such as racial profiling by police and jobs, and prefer someone of their own race, I will try to get them that service. In the end, I will adapt to my patient's needs if reasonable. I cannot solve the issues within the African-American community but I will be understanding towards their struggles.
One final analogy is if you had 4 adopted children, would it be fair to give them all the same resources regardless of their need or ability? Or would you consider each of their circumstances and decide what is suitable for each, perhaps giving different amounts of resources and time to each? Yeah, I know Harvard undergrad was basically penalizing Asian-Americans to benefit others which is unquestionably wrong, but focus on the question. So if one of the children is struggling to stay in school, would you not help them? Just let them flunk because they are not as prepared as the others? Would you do the same if they were not adopted but children you raised? When you break down these racial barriers, you realize there is only one race, human.