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Then you didn't look at the right one. There are specialty-specific data for every specialty.I have, but I thought that the data for top match choices was for the entire match, not specific to EM?
Then you didn't look at the right one. There are specialty-specific data for every specialty.I have, but I thought that the data for top match choices was for the entire match, not specific to EM?
No. In past years it has meant that you have a roughly 95% of matching. Where you match on your list is an entirely different story.The PD at one of the places I interviewed said if you rank 10 places, you have a 95% chance of matching in your top 3. Is that true?
Yeah, I can't think of why your number of ranks would have a real correlation with matching to one of your top three.I think this is where confusion is stemming from:
Charting Outcomes has specialty specific data and gives an overall match rate, but doesn't break it down by applicants' rank choice.
http://www.nrmp.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Charting-Outcomes-US-Allopathic-Seniors-2016.pdf
The Main Match Results and Data has statistics for matching top first, second, third choice, etc. but is not specialty specific.
http://www.nrmp.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/Main-Match-Results-and-Data-2016.pdf
This number seems like extrapolation from the overall match data, not specific to EM, hence my original statement. I assume that PDs may have other data that would point to how EM applicants do specifically, but I personally have not seen that data.
Yeah, I can't think of why your number of ranks would have a real correlation with matching to one of your top three.
Anyone remember to ask Northwestern/UChicago about thank yous? Hoping I can avoid writing any haha
The PD at one of the places I interviewed said if you rank 10 places, you have a 95% chance of matching in your top 3. Is that true?
"Wouldn't this read the same as if you rank [3] places you have a 95% chance of matching in your top top 3"... why would anything you did in spots 4-10 of ROL have any baring on what happens 1-3 statistically.
Seems like 15 this year is the magic number
Seems like 15 this year is the magic number
Isn't that usually concluded from retrospective data?
All of mine have been 5 or 6. Seven doesn't seem odd or excessive. They're probably short. You'll be fine.Has anyone interviewed with Vanderbilt yet? I just saw that there are 7 (seven!) interviews that day. How intense are they exactly? Geeze I'm used to 4 interviews in a day, max. 7 seems absurd!
Does anyone who has interviewed at UWisconsin know the hours of the interview day? My email says pre-social is 6-10 but doesn't specify about the interview day until 1 week before (which would be hard for travel plans)
Correct. 6yearmedstud's comment makes absolutely zero sense.
Seems like 15 this year is the magic number
How do we have a magic number already?
Isn't that usually concluded from retrospective data?
Correct. 6yearmedstud's comment makes absolutely zero sense.
So the faculty at that program doesn't know how match data works? Or what?
We don't really know what you (read: your faculty) are insinuating here.
Dang guys, what's with the hostility? FWIW, they aren't wrong. While, yes, the magic number is obtained from retrospective data, we obviously use it prospectively hence people pushing to get to the 12 interview mark.
So if the "magic number" is the number of places one needs to rank to have a 100% chance at matching, then based on the most recent match data (see page 57 http://www.nrmp.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Charting-Outcomes-US-Allopathic-Seniors-2016.pdf), the magic number is indeed 15.
At the same time, it looks like you still have a 97-98% probability of matching with 12 ranks. So basically what I'm insinuating is that it's 6 in one hand, half a dozen in the other.
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Me neither. It's us responding to a vague post that had zero explanation.I don't see any true hostility in those comments.
So if the "magic number" is the number of places one needs to rank to have a 100% chance at matching, then based on the most recent match data (see page 57 http://www.nrmp.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Charting-Outcomes-US-Allopathic-Seniors-2016.pdf), the magic number is indeed 15.
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I don't see any true hostility in those comments.
Me neither. It's us responding to a vague post that had zero explanation.
People don't have to go on 15 interviews.
This is not true. By your definition, the magic number is 13, not 15. US allopathic seniors with both 13 and 15 ranks had 100% match success last year.
If your "magic number" definition is to have a number where you'll have a >99% chance of matching, the number is still 13. In fact if you rank 13 or more places as a US allopathic senior, your chances of matching would be 99.5% (657/660).
BTW, 14 ranks was 156/158 and 16 or more was 251/252.
Right, so when I tell a stranger they make "absolutely zero sense" and accuse someone's program leadership of not knowing how match data works I definitely mean it in a nice way. [emoji849]
Not trying to tone police here guys, I promise. It was just strange to me the reaction that a single comment got.
just sharing what I was told by some faculty
OK, guys, I need some words of advice. I am freaking out. I have only gotten 1 interview (at my homes institution) and what seems to be a waitlist (I was informed that should there be a last minute cancellation, they will reach out to me personally to fill the spot) at my #1 choice. I have sent 125+ applications and have yet to hear back from 90+ programs. Words of advice?
I am thinking about reaching out to EACH of these programs (I know it's a lot, but I want to do everything I can) that have not responded to me and send them a personalized e-mail. What do you think I should include in the e-mail? Any help would be greatly appreciated. Thanks!
OK, guys, I need some words of advice. I am freaking out. I have only gotten 1 interview (at my homes institution) and what seems to be a waitlist (I was informed that should there be a last minute cancellation, they will reach out to me personally to fill the spot) at my #1 choice. I have sent 125+ applications and have yet to hear back from 90+ programs. Words of advice?
I am thinking about reaching out to EACH of these programs (I know it's a lot, but I want to do everything I can) that have not responded to me and send them a personalized e-mail. What do you think I should include in the e-mail? Any help would be greatly appreciated. Thanks!
Who did you call? The coordinator? I have like 3 programs I'm really hoping to hear back fromDo it. I called a handful of places and it resulted in getting a couple interviews the next day. The email might take a little time cause so many people probably do it and PD's get 1000 emails a day.
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I have sent 125+ applications and have yet to hear back from 90+ programs. Words of advice
Does any one know if there are any spots left at Philly schools? (Drexel, Jeff, Einstein, Temple or UPenn)
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