Based on stats alone, you should have a chance at the SUNYs and low tier OOS and private schools (i.e. NYMC, Albany, Penn State, Quinnipiac, etc.)
However, are you URM? and what are your ECs like? do you have publications from research, non-profit work, alot of volunteering? Was your MS a thesis-based degree? These things can improve your chances for mid tiers. A solid research background and URM status could put you into play for some top tiers.