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Hello hushcom, I'm enjoying the thread. My cgpa is about 3.5 and my post-bacc gpa is about 3.8. My undergrad was fine arts so most of my science has been done in the post bacc, but I'm a little frustrated how seemingly impossible it's been to raise my cumulative. I'm currently looking through the MSAR and my cgpa is fairly low for a lot of the schools I'd otherwise like to apply to (right at the 10th percentile or just below). Generally how much more consideration will be placed on my post-bacc rather than my cumulative? And in general should I still avoid applying to schools where my cgpa is just below what they typically accept? Thanks.
I would place a lot of emphasis on your post-bacc grades, since they better represent your ability to handle the preclinical curriculum in medical school. I am willing to bet that many of the 10th percentile students at the schools you are looking at were in a similar situation, having done successful post-baccs to shape up their academic records.
I would strongly advise you to not start with the schools you want to attend. Apply to all your state schools, and then start with the private ones where you will be most competitive based on your numbers. Definitely shoot for some reach schools, although how many will be dictated by the number of applications you are willing to file. The point is to get in, not to get in to a particular institution.