You'll be priority 4 in NSW, and have a very good chance with rural and secondary hospitals-probably overall a 65-70% chance of a position through the public system. NSW has the most internships and by a large margin.
At UQ you will be priority 4 and only have chances at about 2-3 hospitals, with about a 5-10% chance through the ballot system, and will rely on the CMI positions.
I don't believe these numbers. While NSW has the most internship spots, it also has the most international students graduating. At any rate, overall there hasn't been an issue with getting an internship in either state until (likely) this year's application season, and this year's numbers won't be known until sometime next year.
Going on the numbers that we DO know, it would appear instead that NSW has had a
less favorable placement history for int'l students than Qld. The most recent set of reliable data comes from 2013, as per the 2014 MTRP (
http://www.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/work-pubs-mtrp):
Internship spots (2013)*:
NSW 923 (Int'ls placed: 43 state + 2 CMI)
QLD 678 (Int'ls placed: 58 state + 8 CMI)
VIC 707 (Int'ls placed: 76 state)
*(Table 3.2)
Graduates for 2013 placement*:
NSW 971 (838 dom + 133 int'l)
QLD 752 (618 dom + 134 int'l including 9 Ochsner)
VIC 795 (644 dom + 151 int'l)
*(Tables 2.19, 2.20)
Note that QLD had the FEWEST int'l students graduating locally, while NSW now has the most (Vic has since reduced its numbers).
Now if we simply take the number of total internship spots in each state and subtract the number of its graduates, we can get a rather loose idea of the "training deficit" if you will, or a proxy of how 'well' each state has been keeping pace with its internship spots in order to (potentially) accommodate its own grads (assuming all its grads wanted a spot there). Some people think that this is of moral importance. Of course, the caveat is that in the real world, there is considerable interstate (and overseas) movement of grads by choice.
NSW -48 (-5%)
QLD -74 (-10%)
VIC -88 (-12%)
In other words, gross numbers show a deficit for all three of the biggest training states, with Vic having the largest deficit. Note that each of the states guarantees a position for all of its domestic-fee students.
If we instead take the number of intl's placed for internship in each state and subtract the number of its int'l grads, we get a loose proxy for how 'well' each state is accommodating its int'l students in particular. The caveat here is similar -- it does not take into account the (large) movement of int'l grads overseas (usually back home):
NSW -88 (-66%)
QLD -68 (-51%)
VIC -75 (-50%)
In other words, if every int'l student graduating from a Qld school (including all Ochsner grads in New Orleans) had wanted an internship in Qld for 2013, then about half would not have been able to get one (in reality, all grads who wanted a spot got one). By this measure, Qld and Vic are doing about the same job, and NSW the worst.
If this year as expected there won't be any spots left unfilled, the big unknown will be how many of the remaining int'l grads wanted to stay (there's also been a history of many each year getting an internship spot in Australia only to bail out mid-year once they get one back home -- only CMI offers contractually ban this). Surveys are planned to help flesh out these numbers for this year's grads. However, while knowing whether int'l student grads got an internship/residency job elsewhere will be valuable, getting reliable self-reported data on *intentions* will always prove challenging.
In summary, using the best data available, I simply don't believe any unsubstantiated assertion that the odds of getting Australian internship as an int'l from NSW has been or is any easier than from Qld.