Bad predictions holding up good

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TheWallnerus

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Said with peace and love: the leaders in our field need to know better how many ROs there are. If the number of ROs is increasing much faster than the RO patient load, then that is not good. Didn't really believe there would be 5700-6300 ROs come 2025, did you, but that number looks surprisingly on track. If there were 5415 ROs in 2017 there should easily be 5700-6300 ROs by 2025. Could be close to 6000 come 2022. Would not surprise if we looked harder (and not just rely on finding out the number of ROs from the comfort of our computer screens) we'd find more than 5415 ROs in 2017.

To show how out of touch leaders are on this issue I could cite 100 different things, but the most recent one I remember is where Louis Potters said there are "just over 4500" of us in March 2021. AFAIK ASTRO has never once openly stated that there are more than 5000 ROs. If there is an RO oversupply, it's different math at 4500+ ROs vs 6000+ ROs.

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Reposting link to article below; many concerning topics raised outside of workforce here as well.

Practice Consolidation Among U.S. Radiation Oncologists Over Time


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