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Chances of matching into prelim


Fugitive Tech Consultant
15+ Year Member
Jan 6, 2003
Chicago, IL
No one has any clue because we don't know the program, we don't know your stats, and even if we did it would be a crapshoot because there is wild fluctuation in the difficulty of getting a particular prelim spot because there are generally few of them.

It is easier to predict based on historical information if you'll match at a residency with 40 spots than one with 4 spots. Less variability
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