futureemdoc1
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Our field is on the same course as radiology and anesthesiology. These fields seemed like there would never be a ceiling in terms of pay. Then one day, the bubble popped.
Like anesthesia, a huge part of the issue is midlevels. The EM bubble will inevitably pop. This is not just the typical "doom and gloom" mindset of SDN, but rather, simple economics and a little bit of historical context.
For whatever reason, the vast majority of current EM physicians continue to tell prospective medical students and those applying that EM docs are the highest in demand docs out of any specialty and how "you will always have a job". While that may be the situation currently, who knows how things will pan out.
Also, geography plays a huge role in terms of EM compensation. I have talked to EM physicians in highly competitive markets, where supply and demand economics favors the employers. They are noticing their salaries taking a hit when there's someone else who is willing to do your job for less money just so they can live by the beach.
I have worked a lot with individuals and organizations on NP and PA integration. With that being said, I would not worry about a shift in EP salaries. First, ED salaries are driven by the need for physicians and the shortage of physicians. The introduction of NPs and PAs might influence that but largely it impacts access and delivery of care time, not the decreased need for physicians. Second, and fortunately, ED physician need is driven by medical staff rules. In other words, Medical Staffs make their own rules on who can admit, see patients, and so on. While NPs and PAs have been allowed to see patients in the ED, it is extremely rare (rural South Dakota) for a Medical Staff to not require a physician to be on-site. Finally, ED physicians are largely still in private practice and the market is virtually controlled by physician owned entities. Therefore, even if point #1 was not true, physicians are still controlling the delivery of labor. The bottom line is that from a market perspective, salaries are not going down for ED physicians, stagnating perhaps though.
You are pretty far off. Many ED physicians are employed by hospitals or contract management groups (CMG's). Some are part of small democratic groups (SDG's). Almost half are independent contractors (IC's) for CMG's as they operate nearly half the ER's in this country.
You miss the point I made in my other thread: telemedicine will not occur overnight. The first step is increasing APP staffing in ED's to replace ER physicians. It's already starting. The difference at first will not be between a doc on-site and a doc off-site. It will be the difference between 2 ER docs vs 1 ER doc. In places that normally have 3 ER docs staffing the ER at any given time, there might be 6 APP's with 1 ER doc supervising them. Ten years from now it will be remote supervision in many rural ER's.
I do not disagree and I am not saying none are hospital employed. I simply am stating that on the spectrum of specialties still having a stronghold on private practice/CMG (which I view as close to the same considering many CMGs are physician owned), ED physicians are one. Unlike family medicine, pediatrics, and so on. But yes, I agree.
The cmgs are owned by private equity. Local docs have nothing but the illusion of control.I do not disagree and I am not saying none are hospital employed. I simply am stating that on the spectrum of specialties still having a stronghold on private practice/CMG (which I view as close to the same considering many CMGs are physician owned), ED physicians are one. Unlike family medicine, pediatrics, and so on. But yes, I agree.
I do not disagree and I am not saying none are hospital employed. I simply am stating that on the spectrum of specialties still having a stronghold on private practice/CMG (which I view as close to the same considering many CMGs are physician owned), ED physicians are one. Unlike family medicine, pediatrics, and so on. But yes, I agree.
We use APPs extensively and we make a tremendous amount of money because of them. Everyone of them is scared out of their mind running an ED by themselves. As long as our group is around I am not worried about APP take over. Now, if we sold out to the hospital or lost our contracts than that is another story, but I still think the sky is falling mentality is a little overblown. If you work away from the coasts and mountains you can easily make 400k and if you work hard 500k is doable. People who choose to live in competitive markets and desirable areas will make a lot less, but I guess that is the tax they choose to pay. I will always recommend living in fly over states and make twice as much and then vacation every month of the year. Will those salaries be around in 10 years, probably not, but will we all be making 150k, I don't think so. I think it is reasonable to expect 300-350k a year for much less work than the avg speciality. Will ortho pods and Mohs and rad onc make more, of course they will, but I don't see EM pay crashing to sub PA pay or primary care pay anytime soon.
Not saying it is the same as private wholly owned partner/physician owned entity. I am simply saying many CMGs have physician ownership opportunities. No, but this also is not a thread comparing CMGs and partner-owned group.CMG isn't anywhere close to private practice. Are you a physician?
Are these APPs actually supervised by you? Are you willing to take on the liability when they make a mistake? Anytime you do anything for money you are setting yourself up for failure. APPs are already not supervised in 22 states. The NP organization is already gearing up for this legislative season in supervised states. And PAs are following suit. We already know of one state that is going to grant PAs independence. But I am so glad that you made a tremendous amount of money.
Not saying it is the same as private wholly owned partner/physician owned entity. I am simply saying many CMGs have physician ownership opportunities. No, but this also is not a thread comparing CMGs and partner-owned group.
Are these APPs actually supervised by you? Are you willing to take on the liability when they make a mistake? Anytime you do anything for money you are setting yourself up for failure. APPs are already not supervised in 22 states. The NP organization is already gearing up for this legislative season in supervised states. And PAs are following suit. We already know of one state that is going to grant PAs independence. But I am so glad that you made a tremendous amount of money.
So just to be clear, it is ownership right? Or is it control? Because those are different. I just simply stated ownership opportunities.![]()
See, you went wrong again with "Many CMGs have physician ownership opportunities".
The only one that is immediately on any doc's mind is "USACS", and we know what kind of a laughable ownership scam that is.
I'm gonna call you out.
Declare yourself and what you know/how you know it, because right now - nothing you say passes the sniff test to me or any other EM attending on this forum.
So just to be clear, it is ownership right? Or is it control? Because those are different. I just simply stated ownership opportunities.
I will make sure to tell that to the Fortune 500 companies . . . and every other major corporation in the world.Legitimate ownership should = legitimate control.
So just to be clear, it is ownership right? Or is it control? Because those are different. I just simply stated ownership opportunities.
I will make sure to tell that to the Fortune 500 companies . . . and every other major corporation in the world.
I am just making a point. The point is that ED physician salaries are not negatively impacted by midlevels. That is all.Uhh, dude - your pedantic semantics aren't well-received.
I am just making a point. The point is that ED physician salaries are not negatively impacted by midlevels. That is all.
I am just making a point. The point is that ED physician salaries are not negatively impacted by midlevels. That is all.
I'm in agreement. The biggest threat right now are the residency mills being started on a massive scale by CMGs.
This should be a big worry. I do have significant concerns about that. Agreed.Agreed, CMG residency proliferation combined with huge and insane levels of debt from for-profit medschools and the paucity of easy exits from EM is making for a toxic stew.
Are the for profit med schools the carribean ones? I don’t think us md schools are for profit? Maybe I’m missing something.Agreed, CMG residency proliferation combined with huge and insane levels of debt from for-profit medschools and the paucity of easy exits from EM is making for a toxic stew.
Are the for profit med schools the carribean ones? I don’t think us md schools are for profit? Maybe I’m missing something.
Which ones? I want names.There are for-profit schools in the US now.
Rocky Vista University College of Osteopathic Medicine, Colorado and Utah (DO).Which ones? I want names.
Rocky Vista University College of Osteopathic Medicine, Colorado and Utah (DO).
California Northstate University College of Medicine (MD).
Theses are the only 2.
Ponce School of Medicine, Puerto Rico (MD)Rocky Vista University College of Osteopathic Medicine, Colorado and Utah (DO).
California Northstate University College of Medicine (MD).
Theses are the only 2.
Good eye. I certainly didn't know these - especially Ponce.Ponce School of Medicine, Puerto Rico (MD)
Burrell College of Osteopathic Medicine, New Mexico (DO)
Idaho College of Osteopathic Medicine (Idaho, obviously)
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Note to self.. never hire anyone or match anyone into residency from these places.
Maybe, but their recent match list shows students matching to some pretty strong places like hennepin and indiana. Even students where I go (good MD school) don't match that well.
Well, salaries have certainly been mostly flat for the past five years or so. What has happened to the cost of everything else during that time period?So with all the fear mongering going on with midlevels taking EP jobs... has anyone actually seen or heard of a decrease in pay for EP's now that NP's and PA's are becoming more prevalent in the ED?
In many places its stayed about the same.Well, salaries have certainly been mostly flat for the past five years or so. What has happened to the cost of everything else during that time period?
What are the exit strategies other than live like an ascetic for 10 years and hope that you can put away enough to last you until you die?Even with the massive explosion of residencies, it's hard to get docs to work EM and EM shifts. It's only easy to get midlevels because they cherry-pick their diva shifts. If the US continues to demand 24/7 staffing of their ERs with attendings, then (unless us docs are completely obtuse, which I don't rule out), EM will have to pay semi-decently or folks will peel off into telehealth, urgent care, occ med etc. The exit strategies from EM are few, but they are increasing, and new grads seem to be thinking of exit strategies earlier and earlier. So I don't see salaries declining horribly unless we just stop staffing ERs, which is, I suppose, possible.
What are the exit strategies other than live like an ascetic for 10 years and hope that you can put away enough to last you until you die?
But this is my point... the main exit strategy is still to live cheap and save up as quickly as you can, so that you don't have to run the rat race for the rest of your life. There is no large scale exit strategy for EM or any other field in general, as none of those other fields/jobs that you mentioned can accommodate large influx. These are already niche markets with established players.Pain, hyperbarics, wound care, addiction medicine, telehealth, occupational medicine, urgent care, admin, public health etc. Yes, they all pay less, but a better schedule and lower stress. I agree EM is not rife with great exit strategies and is a fraud of a field that you can't do long term, but if you can earn 400k a year (unlikely if you are in the Bronx!), save up a couple million over a decade, and then retire to a cush job where you earn 150-200k, life is sweet, no?
Disagree, BTW, that salaries have been flat. The last two to three years they've flattened, but NYC pays much more than it used to.
You'd be surprised what urgent care could accommodate.But this is my point... the main exit strategy is still to live cheap and save up as quickly as you can, so that you don't have to run the rat race for the rest of your life. There is no large scale exit strategy for EM or any other field in general, as none of those other fields/jobs that you mentioned can accommodate large influx. These are already niche markets with established players.
Lol, true.You'd be surprised what urgent care could accommodate.