I feel like the infamous 2021 study on the doom and gloom of our specialty fails to foresee one important aspect of our job. The hostile work environment that leads to quick burnout. The study assumes that all ED physicians in the workforce will stick with the job and fulfill the typical retirement age of 60-65 years old. I'm only 6 years out of residency, but even I know this is far from reality. Many ED physicians, including my colleagues get burned out quickly and exit the field. They say they can't stand it anymore. They'll transition to urgent care jobs, ketamine clinic, open up a med spa, run a botox clinic, etc whatever it takes to not work in the ED. So the new grads in the future might continue to see a decent job market. And that's not because we've reached a good supply/demand ratio or because ACEP is doing a good job. It's because many existing doctors are exiting the field, making room for others. I consider myself as someone who enjoys ED work and feels very comfortable in the chaos, but even I'm starting to feel the burnout these days. The burnout mainly stems from having to work with stupidity and ineptitude of admins / leadership, not from the patients. And that problem will come with most ED jobs out there. I'm currently 1.8 M in NW, and my plan is to buckle up and hustle for another 10 years to reach 5 M. As soon as I hit that number, I'm leaving the field without looking back. I'll live off the dividend, spend the rest of my life doing things I love with my family and friends.