How can we expect this oversupply of new young docs to affect the share value of Apollo, USACS, etc by 2030?
On the one hand, any of these companies that are left by then, will have grown really really big. OTOH, if prices are driven by what new grads can afford to buy in (or pay taxes on for USACS at least), we expect that new grads will have higher debt and more job competition by then and so in reality may not be able to afford to Ponzi me out of the system?
I'm interested because I'm a new USACS stock owner. Not a fully voluntary owner, but I am beginning to drink the USACS Kool-Aid a bit, especially since they're letting us keep our S-corps now and thus essentially preserving our old hourly... for now! They also really do seem to do less scummy things than TH/HCA. Eg, no 1-hour sepsis and famously no balance billing. And I'd get K-1 capital gains taxation on the stock I'm forced to buy, so could be part of a nice little bridge to FIRE in 5--10 years while my SEPP or Roth ladder is cooking.