honestly, matches vary from year to year and class to class. If you pick your school based on the place you will learn and prosper the best then you will end up where you want to be. If you try to work from the top down then you might end up in a place that you dont learn well. Good luck
I think there's some wisdom in this post. Picking a school based on the % of students who match into the specialty you want is sort of putting the horse in front of the cart.
As far as competitive specialties go, I'm doubtful that one DO school makes much of a difference over another. An orthopod today was just talking about how their first step in deciding who to interview is to look at board scores, and if a student doesn't make the cut off, their app doesn't even make it past the secretary. Where they went to school might grease the works a bit, but it doesn't seem to get your foot in the door.
I don't mean to sound preachy, but if you absolutely have your heart set on a super-competitive specialty, I'd really think long and hard before I signed on for med school. The reason why is this: if you've been on here for a while, I'm sure you know the pattern - around April, the board starts to fill up with premeds prepping for the MCAT, and discussion tends to center on the finer points of choosing Harvard or Hopkins. Then, the MCAT happens, reality hits, and all of a sudden the discussions about MD vs DO, DO vs. Carribean, etc. start to pop up...
Well, there is a similar phenomenon in med school. On the first day, we where asked who wanted to do primary care, and almost no one raised their hand. People were discussing what offered better hours - hand surgery or interventional neuroradiology. Then, anatomy hits, then pharm, then micro, then the boards...and suddenly it is so much work just to stay afloat and pass, that people begin to rethink their plans, and some of the primary care specialties maybe start to seem like options well-worth considering.
I don't mean to sound discouraging, or to suggest that you can't achieve your dream - if you want it bad enough, you can do it, absolutely. My point is just that no med school in the country is going to be able to guarantee you a specialty. Likewise, none of them will prevent you from getting a specialty - it is all up to you. Sorry if this comes across as preachy, but I don't want to blow smoke - the opportunities are there, but med school is a tough competitive game - and will be so regardless of what school you pick.