I wonder what the flu mortality numbers would look like without the vaccine?
Wasn't the point of all of this to flatten the curve? If you do that, the area under the curve shouldn't change. It was preventing the peak that overwhelmed hospitals like Italy. If Sweden's hospitals aren't overwhelmed, then mortality numbers aren't really a useful comparison.
Yes, and once we have a coronavirus vaccine, then I won't worry about coronavirus to the same extent (similar to what we do for the flu in contemporary times). Again, this is 70k WITH social distancing, quarantine, stay-at-home, etc.. Over THREE months. I don't really buy how 100k over a full year with zero social distancing is 'basically the same'. Yes, if we did social distancing for flu the numbers would go down as well.
But, fair enough on the second point, I get what you're saying and it doesn't appear Swedish hospitals have been overwhelmed. We'll have to see about where Sweden lands up.
All this being said, there is an in-between between 'fully functional' and 'overhwlmed like Italy' in hotspots. Some hospitals in NY/NJ, due to shortage of PPE, concern for staff infection, and low likelihood of clinical success, are heavily using things like 2-physician DNR for futility of care in COVID-19 patients. Yes, mostly on older patients. However, at least one hospital (that I know somebody at, as I saw the actual rules because I didn't believe it) developed rules at the beginning due to PPE shortages that any COVID-19 + patient or PUA who was in asystole was not to be intubated or coded. VFib was to get electrical and medicinal help but no tube, no compressions.
@GeneralVeers see above for the whataboutisms about flu vaccines, and the point I'll concede about Sweden that we'll have to wait and see.
In regards to the political sides - yes, Republicans are going to be more likely to do what Trump suggests while Democrats are less likely to do what Trump suggests. I will not argue that.
But, to suggest that Democrats are locking their states NOT because of their concerns for the safety of their constituents (and have a different cut point of acceptable deaths vs economic damage) but because they specifically want to target trump so he doesn't get elected is the conspiracy theory I'm talking about.
There is no way to convince you as it's a locked mindset that will not respond to the lack of evidence. Democrats are not dumb enough to say that they are being obstructionist (in the regard of re-opening their states) SIMPLY as a political maneuver.