I think next cycle will be even more competetive due to the following factors:
1) about 10-20% increase in applicants.
2) add in reapplicants from this cycle
3) increased number of retakes of the DAT and excellent study materials increasing the average applicant's score of the DAT
4) increased number of applicants increases the average score achieved by accepted applicants (more applicants at 20+ DAT means less applicants at 19 will be accepted)
1. Seems a bit high to me. I could be wrong, but wasn't there around 12k applicants in the previous cycle as well? Doesn't seem like a significant difference to me.
2. There are reapplicants in every cycle...
3. Increased number of retakes? How do you know?
4. Makes sense.
Is there any acutally statistcal proof that DAT scores are rising? It just seems like it is one of those SDN myths, just becasue this place is so full of anxious pre-dents.
UCSF 2005 average Class Stats:
DAT academic average=20.54; PAT=18.19
UCSF 2006 Average Class
DAT academic Average=20.93; PAT=19.26
From the looks of pre-dents.com i'd say 2007 will go up another .5-1 point or so.
So yea it went up but not by that much.
actually, i did a presentation for the pre-dental association at the University of Michigan...looking at official ADEA stats...the AADSAS gpa has risen to 3.33 from a 3.28 (nationally) and the DAT's are consistently goin up as well...as of decemeber AADSAS was predicting nearly 12,500 applications this cycle....
that 1:3 number for dental school enrollment is nearly what i calculated with the stats that i was provided
so bring on ur A-game when u think about applying next year!
Probably not, many people that have recently taken the DAT twice say that it is getting harder.
the US needs more dental schools.
I don't know but sooner or later the number of applicants will drop off because the applicant pool seems to go cyclical. Obviously right now it is on an upswing since ~2000. I don't think it will be increasing like this indefinately. When there is a downswing I don't expect it to settle to where it was before. I hope I am right.