I prepared an excel spreadsheet of how your chance of being accepted to at least one college varies with the number of interviews you have + how likely you think any one interview will result in you being accepted.
ASSUMPTIONS:
I assume a binomial distribution, which means that events are independent. (safe assumption)
I also assumed that each interview has the same percent likelihood of resulting in an admission, which isn't a safe assumption, so take the results with a grain of salt. You might have 3 really bad interviews but then have one stellar one with >70% chance of being admitted. etc. etc.
Anyways, I got bored so I figured why not? Hope some people find it informative.
ASSUMPTIONS:
I assume a binomial distribution, which means that events are independent. (safe assumption)
I also assumed that each interview has the same percent likelihood of resulting in an admission, which isn't a safe assumption, so take the results with a grain of salt. You might have 3 really bad interviews but then have one stellar one with >70% chance of being admitted. etc. etc.
Anyways, I got bored so I figured why not? Hope some people find it informative.