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Fact is, past performance predicts future performance.
Premeds study their asses off to crush the MCAT and get into the best possible med schools.
Med students study their asses off to crush Step 1 and get into the best possible residencies.
While I don't know of any studies that have looked at the correlation between MCAT scores and Step 1 scores, I find it hard to believe that low-performers on the MCAT are consistently high-performers on Step 1. But I could be wrong.
I dont think anyone believes that, do you?
But, if you are responding to my previous post, look a bit closer. The point I am making is that the MCAT is one predictor. There are, of course, studies that have tried to look at how valid it is at predicting step one scores...but those are entirely beside the point.
The point is about understanding what statistics (predictors) actually mean. If you believe that because you have a high MCAT that you will get a high Step 1, then you don't understand the idea of statistics. The only thing they state is that, given a large enough group, one score can predict another score, as a group. Any one individual is not statistically more or less likely to perform higher based on that statistic.
Hense the point, while its true that, on average, students with high MCAT have high Step 1, you cant take that stat and apply it to yourself or any one student.