Sorry if I came off condescending - that was not my intent at all. The question of the thread is which specialties have the sky falling, and Derm is not one of them in my view. Derm has a few things going that make it more resilient to mid-levels. Not immune, just as most specialties, but not a “sky is falling” situation:
- practice diversity (Medical, surgical, peds, cosmetic) means large patient pool and small losses to a fraction of one area isn’t as impactful overall,
- ability to hang a sign and get patients (no necessity to rely on big employers),
- the fact that there are no diagnostic or treatment algorithms in derm (and largely based on proper training/experience) makes effective practice of non-basic stuff challenging
- The fact that there is already so much common skin disease that Derm can’t manage it all on their own anyway (mild acne, BCC, warts, mild eczema etc)
- and importantly the fact that people care about their skin (and will often choose their skin provider and actively seek out appointments).
All this makes independent practice takeover by mid-levels less likely. Yes Derm probably needs to lobby to make sure it stays that way and prevent a long, slow shift of the landscape (over next 10-20 yrs) and actively defend their turf, but the more likely scenario is more mid-levels work under a dermatologist, which doesn’t really take a job away from a dermatologist. Overall, the bigger question in derm is private equity, not mid-level encroachment. So no, the sky is not falling in derm.