Of course it's somewhat of a crapshoot. Without consistent standards applied across the board with regard to GPA and MCAT, there will always be a lot of variance. And timing is sooooo important. A 3.4 may land you an interview one day but be too low the next. Also, an adcom who has seen 2000 apps could easily reject someone identical to someone else who was accepted 1500 apps earlier in his review, not out of malice, but out of forgetfulness. You just do the best you can and take what you can get.
I also get the impression that waitlists are a bigger part of the picture than any of us realize. I hope I'm right about this come waitlist season.
I also get the impression that waitlists are a bigger part of the picture than any of us realize. I hope I'm right about this come waitlist season.