I wanted to ask any of those out there who are either current residents or faculty what my odds of matching are with 8 interviews. I know it only takes "1 interview" to match, but realistically speaking how do things look? Normal, run of the mill applicant here. Wishing everyone the best of luck in a month!
I would say you have a good shot. Some of the factors to consider are:
(1a) where did you interview? If your 8 programs are all "Top 10" type programs then statistically that makes it a lot harder than landing a spot at a program if your 8 programs are average to weak
(1b) how big are these programs? if your 8 programs average 6 spots, that's 48 positions TOTAL, versus if your 8 programs average 3 spots (24 positions)
(2) How did your interviews go? You can generally tell how well an interview goes...but sometimes people are so cocky, rude, or just weird and have no idea they totally tanked an interview. If you got along well with your interviewers, you tend to get a pretty good feeling about that...so go with your gut feeling on this
(3) Did you show interest in a program? Sometimes in the end if it's an average program and comparing similar applicants, maybe the benefit of the doubt will go to someone with a tie to the program (or heavy interest). Again, speculation only.
So yes, you do have a pretty good chance...but someone with 20 interviews who is rude and condescending will do much worse matching than someone with 3 interviews who really just gets along great with their interviewers
best of luck to you...again, this is just one person's opinion, so take it with a grain of salt...but I currently interview people, and pretty quickly I forget board scores (cuz they're all so similar) and just go with the vibe I get from the applicant in general