Nope.
It's not a knowledge test. It's a consultant test, which means much more (and much less at the same time). It's also oral, not written, which means a completely different game. But you still have an 85% chance to pass it on your first try. Very smart people have overthought it and failed it. It requires dedicated preparation, just like the first multiple-choice test you have ever taken.
I disagree. It is very much a knowledge test. Not
only a knowledge test, like the written, but a knowledge test nonetheless. One of the most common reasons a person fails is a knowledge gap. It disguises itself as a communication or adaptability issue, but if they knew the information as well as they should, it would have been simple for them to know when they could adapt to a changing situation and do it in a safe manner. They stutter and stammer and appear to communicate poorly often because they do not know the information and are shooting from the hip and second guessing.
There are some who have adequate knowledge that still fail, but those are uncommon and your mock oral exams will demonstrate it if you have those issues. These are the ones who are bright but reluctant to commit to a decision because they second guess themselves. As Lubarsky's book says, everyone knows a super smart person who failed and everyone knows an idiot who passed. The system is not without flaws, but the ones who do not pass
almost always have a knowledge deficit at the root of why they failed. If your written exam score is in the high 80's percentile or greater and you do 15-20 practice exams, you are very likely to pass, I would say mid to high nineties percent chance, well above the stated 85% chance.
Conversely, if you barely passed the writtens and don't do at least 15 mock oral exams, I would say that you chances are in the low 60 percent range. If English is not your first language and is something you struggle with, the numbers go down even further. This is the
American Board of Anesthesiology
given in English. Someone who cannot make someone understand their knowledge because of a language barrier will struggle no matter how smart they are.