Hey everyone,
I had a quick question regarding job prospects as a first-year private practice subspecialty internal medicine attending. I understand that compensation depends on many factors, including but not limited to, partnership, location, volume, compensation model, days/week, etc, but I’m curious what your opinions on the pathways that will lead to the highest possible salary after training. Is cardiology or GI more lucrative, keeping into consideration saturation concerns such as oversupply of interventionalists in cardiology after training, please support your answer with anecdotal evidence of salaries you have seen for first year attending salary.
The reason I ask is because I will have a hefty student loan debt burden at the completion of my training. My spouse and I will have a combined debt burden of $1.1 Million upon completion of fellowship training. Yes I have made financial mistakes in the past when I was a student (expensive undergrad, expensive masters, expensive medical school, for both spouse and myself). Spouse going into pediatrics and wants to do subspecialty training so I am expecting realistically 150k after tax for their income. Location does not matter, days/week does not matter, and honestly satisfaction with my work environment does not matter as this would be a temporary position as I work to build a sizable nest egg and pay off debt. My goal would to work as hard as possible, even if that includes 120 hr weeks in order to pay off our debt. Eventually, I would transition to a work environment and location that I desired, but this would be at least several years down the line. How can I maximize my income in internal medicine?
Thanks for any insight,
Sally
OP, I don't think you're in as bad a spot as you think (or some of these comments are making out). You don't have to work 120 hours/week or make $1M/year in GI/cards to get out from under this debt. Your spouse is not completely irresponsible for choosing peds. While you have incredible debt, you are in a dual physician income household. If you choose a decent-paying subspecialty and manage to clear $400K, you should be able to live quite comfortably in most US cities while paying off the debt over 10-20 years.
I have been refining a Matlab script for calculating personal finances for quite a few years now, so now it's pretty trivial for me to work through various scenarios. So far this script has held up to reality for my own finances as well as some other people I shared this with. I made some assumptions and calculated just about where you could potentially be in a few scenarios, and the script auto-populates the following.
Disclaimer: I'm just a guy with a hobby, and I'm definitely not maximizing your tax efficiency or optimizing loan payments or running through different compensation regimens or even considering your preferred investment strategies, all of which can alter this dramatically. I'm just demonstrating on an approximate basis how this could go down and what, generally, you need to do to stay above water. This also assumes medicine is not raked over the coals by PE or government regulation.
Assumptions:
-US federal + Colorado taxes (these are the most "average" state income taxes, so I used these when making the calculator)
-6% interest on investments after inflation (so this includes principle on a mortgage/real estate appreciation or average S&P 500 gains)
-4% interest on loans (I assume you will refinance to private loans and not participate in loan forgiveness)
I ran a few scenarios based on what you've said. This assumes you both graduate at the same time.
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Scenario #1: Save responsibly and live your life
Jobs you/spouse prefer, medium loan payment aggressiveness, reasonable savings strategy, upper middle class lifestyle
Inputs:
-Combined pre-tax income = $200K + $400K = $600K
-Yearly amount paid towards loans = $100K
-Savings rate (includes retirement, real estate, etc...) = 40% of post-tax/post-loan payment income
Outcomes:
-Years to pay debt: 16
-Yearly allowable expenditure while paying debt: $180K ($240K after debt is paid)
-Net worth after 10 years of attending salary: +$1.0M
-Net worth after 20 years of attending salary: +$4.7M --> Can retire here and maintain lifestyle
-Net worth after 30 years of attending salary: +$10.5M
Scenario #2: Aggressive high earner/superwoman
High intensity/earning job, high loan payment aggressiveness, aggressive savings strategy, upper/upper-middle class lifestyle
Inputs:
-Combined pre-tax income = $200K + $600K = $800K
-Yearly amount paid towards loans = $150K
-Savings rate (includes retirement, real estate, etc...) = 40% of post-tax/post-loan payment income
Outcomes:
-Years to pay debt: 10
-Yearly allowable expenditure while paying debt: $230K ($325K afterwards)
-Net worth after 10 years of attending salary: +$2.1M
-Net worth after 20 years of attending salary: +$6.6M --> Can retire here and maintain lifestyle
-Net worth after 30 years of attending salary: +$13.7M --> Congrats on being the 1%
Scenario #3: Spendthrift
Jobs you/spouse prefer, low loan payment aggressiveness, poor savings strategy, closing in on upper class lifestyle
Inputs:
-Combined pre-tax income = $200K + $400K = $600K
-Yearly amount paid towards loans = $70K
-Savings rate (includes retirement, real estate, etc...) = 15% of post-tax/post-loan payment income
Outcomes:
-Years to pay debt: 27 (this would have to be negotiated with the lender)
-Yearly allowable expenditure while paying debt: $285K ($345K afterwards)
-Net worth after 10 years of attending salary: +$660K
-Net worth after 20 years of attending salary: +$1.8M
-Net worth after 30 years of attending salary: +$4.0M --> Can retire here, but must downgrade lifestyle
Scenario #4: Responsible Academic Dreamers
Low income jobs in academics, medium loan payment aggressiveness, reasonable savings strategy, middle class lifestyle (upper middle later in life)
Inputs:
-Combined pre-tax income = $170K + $250K = $420K
-Yearly amount paid towards loans = $100K
-Savings rate (includes retirement, real estate, etc...) = 30% of post-tax/post-loan payment income
Outcomes:
-Years to pay debt: 16
-Yearly allowable expenditure while paying debt: $130K ($200K afterwards)
-Net worth after 10 years of attending salary: +$170K
-Net worth after 20 years of attending salary: +$2.2M
-Net worth after 30 years of attending salary: +$5.1M --> Can retire here and maintain lifestyle
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The takeaway from the above is pretty simple: avoid SF/NYC, save aggressively, refinance your loans, and pay them off before you plan to retire and you'll be fine. You don't need a seven figure household income to deal with this debt, and it's probably not worth tailoring your career towards attaining one of those jobs if it will impact your long-term happiness. As long as you save ~40% of your post-tax, post-loan payment income and pay on the order of $100K toward the loans each year, pretty much any non-academic path will see you both retiring comfortably in your 50s debt free (or working towards flashy levels of wealth in your 60s).