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Medical School Chances Calculator

Discussion in 'What Are My Chances?' started by DrMeowMeow, Feb 20, 2012.

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  1. DrMeowMeow

    DrMeowMeow 5+ Year Member

    230
    69
    Jul 19, 2011
    I used the coefficients from the logistical regression model taken from the whole population of applicants from 2009-2011 to make this calculator based on MCAT, GPA, and Race. If you download the Excel sheet, you just type in your GPA, MCAT, and 1 for the race it will calculate your probability of getting in. You can only choose one race or it won't work.
     

    Attached Files:

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  3. Will2Survive

    Will2Survive All it takes is Will

    72
    0
    Oct 10, 2011
    Orlando, Florida
    ty for this, I have 93% chance woot
     
  4. DrMeowMeow

    DrMeowMeow 5+ Year Member

    230
    69
    Jul 19, 2011
    Thanks, I spent a ton of time entering in the individual data. I tried contacting AAMC for more descriptive data like the exact GPA and MCAT each applicant had, but they wanted money or something for that. So I had to assume the averages for each category
     
  5. DrShazam

    DrShazam 2+ Year Member

    278
    41
    May 5, 2011
    Thanks for the calculator. I am sure applicants will find it helpful. For me, it said 72%. :luck:
     
  6. TriagePreMed

    TriagePreMed Banned Banned 2+ Year Member

    6,221
    27
    Apr 28, 2010
    Now to add boxes for EC like shadowing, volunteering, leadership, etc.
     
  7. DrMeowMeow

    DrMeowMeow 5+ Year Member

    230
    69
    Jul 19, 2011
    I wish they would release that information!! Haha
     
  8. TriagePreMed

    TriagePreMed Banned Banned 2+ Year Member

    6,221
    27
    Apr 28, 2010
    You might be able to sort of play with the idea depending if you want to make the calculators school-specific. Schools list percentages of people with research, etc. Like if the school is 50/50, no real gain having research. If it's 90/10, then some percentage, etc. But it would probably take forever.

    Thanks for the calculator. Around a 70 something for me. Add the California Resident variable and it probably goes to 0% for me.
     
  9. sector9

    sector9 Moderator Emeritus 5+ Year Member

    11,143
    155
    Apr 27, 2011
    SDN Author
    hSDN Alumni
    Apumic made something almost identical to what you are suggesting for the final versions of his spreadsheet. Unfortunately all that data is in the MSAR which is unavailable for use given AAMC's legal threats to SDN. The current version of this spreadsheet uses only Tables 24 and 25 which are available more freely with less copyright restrictions than the MSAR
     
  10. motgus

    motgus

    1
    0
    Feb 22, 2012
    Before you suggest anything, you should really understand the model. The data you are suggesting would not be applicable to this type of model.
     
  11. drycorn3

    drycorn3 2+ Year Member

    17
    7
    Feb 26, 2011
    well then according to this I have a 93.5% chance! that can't be right... :)
     
  12. TriagePreMed

    TriagePreMed Banned Banned 2+ Year Member

    6,221
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    Apr 28, 2010
    No I don't think I have to understand it. Just a suggestion that if it doesn't work, it doesn't. There is no requirement for a suggestion to be good, but it could be. If I really knew how to do these things, I would do it myself.

    Sent from my SCH-R910 using Tapatalk
     
  13. music2doc

    music2doc Student of Mad Doctoring 5+ Year Member

    2,955
    97
    Jan 28, 2011
    If we included this in the old med school spreadsheet, I bet it would be awesome!

    BTW, you're missing Native American. You should add that in as it is a pretty significant "bonus" (second only to AA)
     
  14. DrMeowMeow

    DrMeowMeow 5+ Year Member

    230
    69
    Jul 19, 2011
    They don't have Native American by itself on the AAMC grid, only grouped with all other URMs. Otherwise I would do it.
     
  15. heliscomo

    heliscomo

    76
    0
    Dec 18, 2011
    earth
    ...
     
    Last edited: May 21, 2012
  16. Bungie2117

    Bungie2117 5+ Year Member

    20
    0
    Dec 14, 2011
    Hispanics and africans got it easy...
    It sucks to be asian as far as admissions go.
    Asian have a less chance whites?
    sad...

    If I was hispanic = 94.18%
    african = 96.71%
    asian = 74.91%
     
  17. LasConchitas

    LasConchitas 2+ Year Member

    5
    4
    Mar 21, 2012
    Seriously, thank you so much for making this! You are an incredible human being!!

    I've been so anxious about everything, but now that I know I have a 73% chance of acceptance, a huge part of that worry is gone. You da best!
     
  18. nysegop

    nysegop Banned

    1,724
    6
    Apr 15, 2012
    Somewhere Cold...
    MDApps:
    Hey, if you have no race then you have a 100% chance of getting into med school. Time to go de-race myself! :laugh:
     
  19. sympatry

    sympatry

    1
    0
    Aug 20, 2013
    meanwhile, I was able to boost my chances with a 105 MCAT score :D:D
     
  20. Goro

    Goro Account on Hold Account on Hold 7+ Year Member

    Jeeze, I hate these stats as they are really misleading and give a lot of false hope to people who don't really understand the process.

    Your stats are for the US as a whole, and not any specific school. They are definitely skewed for many reasons, such as regional selectivity (Chances at U KS are NOT the same for someone from NY state) . If you look at any individual school, the odds fall to <10% for people with those stats. Not all matriculants are equal.


    And those people with the low GPAs and MCATs who get in? We call those people "specials" or "legacies". They either have a large donation check in hand, or are related to alumni, Deans or faculty. They also may have an outstanding story to tell.


     
  21. JmsD

    JmsD

    68
    23
    Aug 8, 2013
    Well, they don't, which is why they are underrepresented in medicine...
     
  22. Heplayer92

    Heplayer92 2+ Year Member

    570
    260
    Jun 25, 2013
    57% lol...wow
     
  23. Stagg737

    Stagg737 2+ Year Member

    3,168
    3,702
    Jul 2, 2013
    Decapod 10
    My undergrad GPA was a 3.21 but I had a grad school GPA of 3.77, so how does this work for applicants with grad GPAs that are significantly higher than undergrad?

    I was only 22.3% with my undergrad stats, but 57% with my grad GPA...
     

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