He got one this year. The first year he applied he had a 3.6 GPA, and 27 on the MCAT. He got no interviews that year. This year, he have the same GPA, but raised his MCAT score to a 32. He got one interview at a new school, but ultimately got rejected.
I think that it will be the way you present yourself as well. If you sound humble In your personal statement, but passionate at the same time, you might be able to sneak into an MD school. Also, some MDs schools average MCATs together, I would be hesitant on applying to those schools.
If push comes to shove, I would go ahead and move to a different state in the clear residency there. Somewhere where the average MCATs, and GPA, are smaller. Look into moving to Florida or Georgia or Ohio.
Like I said, if you really want that M.D. degree, you can get it, But it's going to take a lot of effort. If you believe that settling for an osteopathic school is not in your best interest, then just don't apply to an osteopathic school.
There are also special masters programs that you can apply to as well. These are auditions to medical school, and if you get a good GPA, 3.7 or higher, then that gives you a huge leg up on the competition. However, this route is very higher risk high reward, as if you do not do well in the special masters program, you shut yourself off from all medical schools osteopathic or MD.
Lots to think about. I am in your same position, but with no MCAT score. My state school is not Lenient, so I'm looking into Special masters programs as well. I would advise you to weigh all your options and leave nothing off of the table. Look at osteopathic programs, look at special masters programs, and look at even doing a couple extra classes to see if you can raise your GPA.
If you want this, then just do it