The Administrative clerk gave me these numbers:
~3800 applications
~950 interviews
~240 admits..
I am interested in learning how other schools (top 20 etc, more research oriented schools) differ. In some ways, I do think that they are very similiar. The biggest thing I learned was: getting an interview doesn't mean that you are "in", it means that they are willing to spend more time examining your application. Remember time is money and no school devotes a lot of time in hiring admissions folks.
I'm not going into my specifics, but getting an interview by me, per the admissions director, means you have what it takes to be accepted. The interview is just to assess whether the person is sane and has reasonable interpersonal skills, as well as meaningful reasons behind their actions.
If over 75 to 80% of those seeking to get into medical school get in, what's the strategic reason of SDN posters in discouraging so many by conveying the process is so incredibly complicated?
Becuase it
is incredibly complicated. You're looking at the end result, being lots of med students accepted, and assuming it is therefore easy to become a med student. Head over to the non-traditional or Caribbean areas of this forum to see how "easy" it is.
The same thing happens during med school. The majority of med students pass the USMLE Step 1. Calling it uncomplicated would produce laughter from anyone who's taken it.
So am I correct in my assumption that there is a lot more luck in this process than people care to admit? I mean, a lot of it is luck of the draw. All it takes to get an interview might be a hobby on your AMCAS that an adcom loves. If another member were to read your app, he/she might not find you very interesting, and give you a rejection. It seems like your entire future can depend on luck because of how differently different adcoms might view your app. All it takes is a specific experience, hobby, or even just a sentence that an adcom particularly loves...
This reasoning is not correct, although a lot of people propagate it. I've commonly heard things like "yeah but if the person reading your application has a headache, you're screwed." or "if you share the same name as their daughter, you're in!" No. Just, no. There
is some wiggle room in probability, but we're still talking in probability, not random possibility. A lot of non-trads have this assumption that applying to more med schools greatly increases ones chances, as if it were the state lotto and they're just buying more tickets. You can apply to them all, few MD programs will even make a printout of someone with a 25 MCAT.
If you want to increase your chances, don't rely on luck, or apply to 40 schools. Increase your stats and experience, ya?