OP, please do not post the same thread in multiple forums. I have closed your thread in Nontrad since you've already received some responses here.
Concerning your question about your chances:
First, your grades are not stellar, but they're not horrible either. Average for allo matriculants is around a 3.6, and you're not too far below par there. Your MCAT is comfortably above average, which is 30-31 for allo matriculants, and it's nicely balanced. So your stats are not a problem.
Applying late most certainly can be a problem; it's possible for a qualified applicant to not get an invite simply because the school is out of interview slots. This happens at my school every year: there are some perfectly good applicants who probably would have gotten invites if they had applied earlier, but they end up on pre-interview hold because we've given out all of the invites already. If you don't get in this year, I highly recommend that you apply in June or July next year. That being said, you should give each school at *minimum* four to six weeks to review your app after you're complete. As Catalystik pointed out, the schools get backed up as the season goes on. Since you've only been complete for about a month, it's entirely possible that you will get some more invites.
All that being said, I think the biggest problem is with your selection of schools. As others have pointed out, the geographic areas where you've focused your apps are extremely competitive, particularly California. In addition, you applied to at least one school that does not take residents of NY (U of Washington). Applying to U Wash is basically a waste of time and money for everyone except WA residents and residents of a few other Western states with no med schools of their own that are therefore considered in-state at U Wash.
If you end up reapplying, you need to get a copy of the MSAR, which tells you the admissions requirements for each school, including residency requirements. In addition, you should look at some of the research-oriented schools in the Midwest and South. There is nothing you can do at Columbia or UCSD that you couldn't do at U Pitt or U Mich. The main reason why these two hardcore research schools don't get a zillion apps and several less research-oriented schools on the coasts do is because of geography. Other schools besides U Pitt and U Mich that I'd suggest you look at are Baylor, Case Western, Pritzker (U Chicago), Northwestern, Emory, Vanderbilt, Virginia Tech, and Duke. Wash U may be a stretch for you stats-wise, but since you're disadvantaged/URM, I would include them too. Some of these schools may even still be accepting apps now, if you decide you want to try them for this year. If you really want to end up at a research-oriented school, I would check.
Finally, there are some formal five year programs that are geared toward training physician-investigators that you might want to check out. U Pitt has the CSTP/PSTP for clinical and basic sciences, respectively. Case Western has CCLCM, which can also be either clinical or basic sciences. One of the advantages of doing a program like this, besides the fact that you'd be able to do a post doc year while in med school, is that your tuition is heavily subsidized. At Pitt, I believe they pay 2/3 of your tuition, and at CCLCM, they pay all of it.
If you have other questions, feel free to PM; I'm a PhD-to-MD too. Also, along with Nontrad, you should check out the Physician Scientists forum. I posted a sticky in there with lots of helpful threads for PhD-to-MD applicants.
Hope this helps, and best of luck. 🙂
