EMTtim
It would have been really nice if I had been able to save more than $8000 before going to med school...LOL! Yes, I still would have gone if I didn't have to take out loans...things would have been better because I wouldn't have had to worry about money.
If you are asking the question of whether doing medicine is worth the "opportunity cost" nobody but you can answer that question. My general answer is that if there is nothing else you would want to do, then do medicine. If there are other things that you think you'd like even close to as well as being a physician, do one of those. The reason is the hours and the many years of training, and then the hours working once you are done with training, are not good. The money is good eventually but given the debt many students will be putting themselves in, they won't be doing that great financially perhaps until they are pushing 40. Also, the crapola from the gov't, insurance companies and some patients/families, and the stresses of the large responsibilities you will have (i.e. could kill someone if you make a mistake) make medicine just a not very easy lifestyle. It IS cool, though.
Well, yeah I would imagine the amount that you can save up beforehand will make it a lot easier later on if it's an appreciable amount. I'm not necessarily talking about opportunity cost, I'm sure I could find plenty of other careers where the opportunity cost is more attractive, but I'm more concerned with whether it's feasible.
For instance, say if someone ends up having 250K in loans at the end of med school, last I checked on finaid.org, that would be about a $3,200 loan payment. After the loan payment, they may not be making much more than a person who makes considerably less (and who spent far less years in school to do so), and that situation will persist for 10 years. So if the person say goes to med school when they're 30, they won't even be out of residency until they're at least 37 and they're already close to 50 by the time they just pay off their loan. My main concern would be not being able to retire at a reasonable age due to not having enough money saved for retirement. Granted, I don't plan on ever fully retiring because I'd go crazy from lack of things to do, but just having the option would be nice.
I actually am going to P-school to try out being a paramedic, because as you and others have said, if there's anything else I can do and be comparatively happy with, then by all means that would make more sense. The big problem I'm noticing as I'm going through paramedic school, however, is it still leaves a lot of questions unanswered as to what we do, why we do it and how our intervention helps, and I'm the kind of person who just keeps asking why until I get a good answer. I don't like the limitation on how many medications and procedures we can do, because while I understand we don't have a controlled environment to work with, I basically feel like we're having one hand tied behind our back as far as our job goes. Additionally, part of that problem is precisely because we don't have all the diagnostic tools, labs, etc. that would be available to any physician so it makes treatment a lot more limited and potentially less accurate since we may not be able to pinpoint the problem. If I run a call on someone with abdominal pain, I'm not going to be content with just starting an IV on them and transporting. I want to provide definitive care that positively impacts my patients while maintaining a certain level of autonomy and having a depth of knowledge that allows me to know exactly why I'm doing what I am. I'm starting to realize that this is only possible as a physician.
One thing that does not come up much on these blogs is that there is simply no other career in America that lets as many people make as much money for so little risk as medicine. If you spend enough time talking to doctors about money they would have you believe that everyone with a bachelors degree in fine arts makes as much as they do for half the effort. And while there will always be people who open up tree trimming businesses and strike it rich, they are nowhere near the number of physicians making excellent salaries. As an example, my graduating class from high school was about 500; roughly half of them went on to college and half of that number graduated from college. That is about 125 college graduates. Of them, the vast majority graduated from local state schools in a non-science related field with between 10-20k in student loan debt. Those numbers are about par with the national averages. Three of us went to medical school, and about five went on to lower tier law schools, and another handful got MBAs or nursing degrees. What is interesting to see, at least among my class, is how they are all living now, ten years after high school. The only ones that are truly well off had parents that gave them jobs without any college at all. They are the ones who will really have a chance to make a lot of money as they have the three ingredients to potential wealth, no debts, good starting salary, and the potential to save early. Everyone else is in the same position, living paycheck to paycheck, scared about losing their jobs at the local bank, and trying to pay off loans or buy a house. So, IMHO, unless you had someone willing to hook you up with a great job out of high school or wealthy parents, medicine is the safest and easiest career you could pick that would guarantee you a good job and little chance for unemployment. Only two other careers I can think of with even remotely similar stats are engineering and accounting and neither of them have the overall safety and security of medicine while having to work nearly as hard.
In answer to your question, one of the reasons I decided to be a doctor was because after five years of college I understood that a biochem degree was worth just as much as a philosophy degree in terms of career options and security. After looking at all the options and trying to find a better alternative I decided that medicine gave me the best of all variables related to my personal career goals, while being the choice with the least risk/most reward. And while I graduated from undergrad owing very little, I certainly couldnt have paid for medical school without loans. Yet I think, even if I had won the lottery to the tune of about 250K, medicine would still be, by far, the safest and best career out there financially and others. Now if I had won 25 million, my answer may be different
Your question is about the risk of the investment, and while it is a monetary risk, I think the greater risk is in time. But I do think, currently, you have the opportunity to get your moneys worth out of medical school. I would argue that there are fewer opportunities with just going to a public undergrad and getting a BA/BS (not so much the money spent, but more the time wasted.) Just look at how many people go and get their masters in English or business and cant find anything but an entry level position while owing a hundred grand.
Well, that's a lot more encouraging note than I usually hear from the other side of the fence. I would imagine then, if someone could pay for most of medical school in cash, it would definitely make it a lot easier to undergo the risk as far as time is concerned. I realized that about a year ago with degrees myself...a bachelor degree really doesn't get you a very high-paying or secure job, unless like you said, someone has a job setup for you when you get out into the work force. I'm only finishing my degree to have it at this point, because I can probably get a job that pays about $50,000/year as an economist, but I have zero interest in doing that and I can get a job as a paramedic in the bay at anywhere from $62,000/year starting to $68,000/year so it makes no sense to use my degree anyway. One thing that the medical director for my current ambulance company said that really sums it up quite nicely is that health care is recession-proof. I fully agree that there is no other field with as much job security as health care.
My concern isn't even really with whether the current state of being a doctor is worthit, obviously it is, since I find responses like this still quite often and the salaries are still reasonable for most specialists. The problem I see is that you kind of have to predict the future and hope that they don't socialize or nationalize health care because I would imagine that would tank the salaries of doctors by a fairly significant amount. My fear isn't really with whether I could make it through medical school but whether I would go into a profession, love it, and then watch it destroyed by some ******* in Congress and be forced to work for a salary that isn't nearly enough to ever allow me to get out of debt and have the ability to retire at some point. Hence why I'm looking at trying to save up as much as possible with a paramedic job for a couple years beforehand so I don't have to take out any loans, or at the most, $50,000 total or less since that's a manageable amount. I figure the risk and the feeling of being "trapped" would be far less if I didn't have a net worth of negative $250,000. I definitely appreciate the input though!