~55% of all rad oncs in America are now academic... and I bet there are a lot of asst profs in America. Thus, again, median $500K+ (much less $600K) for all US ROs is very unlikely.
Certainly mathematically reasonable at least. This "average median" is $430K. I think this would be a lot more in line with known salary dilution by rad onc over-supply, combined with stagnant reimbursement, combined with stagnant patient loads, combined with declining fraction numbers, combined with the ever-present Pareto distribution.
Some of you guys are not quite grasping the big differences between a $600K median, and, say, a $430K median. It's not just "oh well it's $170K less I can live on $430K." For *a large group* there are BIG differences between a median of $600K and median of $430K when it is Pareto. There are gonna be winners and horror stories. I know the human brain is not very well equipped to deal with this. E.g., I once saw huge criticism in a fetal alcohol syndrome study that showed the *mean* IQ of FAS children decreased 5 points from 105 to 100 (and it was p<0.000001 or so) and people made fun like "a 5 point decrease is nothing in terms of IQ points" or "The IQ test is subject to too much bias, you can't measure 5 points, too much error" etc etc. No, you have to think about the group data and the implications of a 105 vs 100 mean. In relative terms, only a ~5% drop. But still it can mean twice as many kids in the ultra-genius group vs the other.
If rad onc median used to be $600K 10 years ago and it is $430K now this is big as hell news folks. These are the types of things I'm trying to get at. It is becoming increasingly obvious from the real world, and it seems to be becoming a shared agreed-upon reality thankfully, that the rad onc workforce is getting progressively over-supplied. We need some attempts at staying on top of this because I think we are moving into a time phase where the changes are going to come more rapidly. Declining means *and* medians are helped along downwards by those with salary of $0/year; I do not know if the unemployed (or fellows!) go into the salary data databases.