This thread is an update of the 2012 thread created by @sector9 and team, which uses AAMC Fact Tables A-24 and A-25 for the 2010-2012 applicants and acceptees. Unfortunately, the 2012 thread is a bit outdated and some of the links for the AAMC tables are not usable.

The updated thread uses AAMC Fact Table A-23, Table A-24.1, Table A-24.2, Table A-24.3, Table A-24.4, and Table A-24.5 for the 2013-2015 applicants and acceptees that are archived thanks to the Internet Archive: Wayback Machine. These tables are important since they use the most recent data available for the old MCAT before the administration of the new 2015 MCAT. Additionally, this thread serves as a useful supplement to the SDN Application Assistant. All data is copyrighted by the AAMC and is used for educational, noncommercial purposes.

I used Excel and MATLAB for creating figures, and I made them to be similar to sector9's charts. I will also update this thread with other statistical insights based on suggestions and previous reports from the SDN community.

2013-2015 Acceptance Charts

1992-2015 Trends

2015-2016 State Maps

Additional Statistics

The charts use data consisting of cumulative undergraduate GPA (cGPA), most recent MCAT score and acceptance percentages. To calculate your cGPA, you can use the following spreadsheet which is based on the AMCAS Application Grade Conversion Guide.

The MCAT score used in the AAMC data is based on the most recent score for each applicant. But be aware that each medical school may have its own policy regarding how to interpret multiple MCAT scores. The charts can also be used for the new 2015 MCAT scores by utilizing efle's MCAT Percentile Conversion Tables.

The percentages displayed are based on the fraction of applicants who have at least one acceptance at a US MD school. The historical acceptance percentage also varies based on race and ethnicity. The following charts express acceptance percentages as a function of cGPA and MCAT, but there are multiple factors involved in determining each admissions decision. As a result, these acceptance percentages should not be interpreted to mean "your chance at acceptance".

To use the charts, find the colored line closest to your cGPA by using the legend on the right. Next, find your MCAT score on the x-axis. Your historical acceptance percentage is found on the y-axis.

Hope you find these charts helpful and feel free to leave your comments/recommendations below.

The updated thread uses AAMC Fact Table A-23, Table A-24.1, Table A-24.2, Table A-24.3, Table A-24.4, and Table A-24.5 for the 2013-2015 applicants and acceptees that are archived thanks to the Internet Archive: Wayback Machine. These tables are important since they use the most recent data available for the old MCAT before the administration of the new 2015 MCAT. Additionally, this thread serves as a useful supplement to the SDN Application Assistant. All data is copyrighted by the AAMC and is used for educational, noncommercial purposes.

I used Excel and MATLAB for creating figures, and I made them to be similar to sector9's charts. I will also update this thread with other statistical insights based on suggestions and previous reports from the SDN community.

__Index__2013-2015 Acceptance Charts

1992-2015 Trends

2015-2016 State Maps

Additional Statistics

__Background__The charts use data consisting of cumulative undergraduate GPA (cGPA), most recent MCAT score and acceptance percentages. To calculate your cGPA, you can use the following spreadsheet which is based on the AMCAS Application Grade Conversion Guide.

The MCAT score used in the AAMC data is based on the most recent score for each applicant. But be aware that each medical school may have its own policy regarding how to interpret multiple MCAT scores. The charts can also be used for the new 2015 MCAT scores by utilizing efle's MCAT Percentile Conversion Tables.

The percentages displayed are based on the fraction of applicants who have at least one acceptance at a US MD school. The historical acceptance percentage also varies based on race and ethnicity. The following charts express acceptance percentages as a function of cGPA and MCAT, but there are multiple factors involved in determining each admissions decision. As a result, these acceptance percentages should not be interpreted to mean "your chance at acceptance".

To use the charts, find the colored line closest to your cGPA by using the legend on the right. Next, find your MCAT score on the x-axis. Your historical acceptance percentage is found on the y-axis.

Hope you find these charts helpful and feel free to leave your comments/recommendations below.

Last edited: Sep 5, 2019