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Going to be honest, I got lost a bit in your acronyms. Also, the answers to your questions depend on info not given above. That said...
I'd recommend not transferring.
Couple of reasons:
1. Your father's connections will definitely be useful, but you can shadow, etc during the summer when you're home. I don't see why that should be a reason to transfer.
2. Transferring is a PitA.
I also want to mention that I'm thrilled for you that you've done some introspection and have given yourself the means to succeed. The most deadly thing to a pre-med's chances is failing to take responsibility for their successes and failures. This is actually also a reason which I feel transferring is unnecessary. Now that you recognize that you are capable of success and simply failed to do what was needed, you will be able to achieve what you set out to do.
As far as your chances as a whole:
Lots of people tank their freshman year, and (though others may tell you otherwise) it's completely reasonable to panic about. You've put yourself in one of the worst spots for a pre-med. Though others DO INDEED turn their grades around on a dime, they are the EXCEPTIONS. Most people who get poor grades once continue to get poor grades. Use that terror to drive yourself to straight As for the rest of your college career. Your aim should be to get 100% on every exam from now on. Without that goal and drive, you won't join that tiny group of exceptions. Are you going to get 100% on every exam? Not likely. But it should be your goal. Every point you miss, ask yourself what you could have done to net it.
Someone gets an A in every class you're going to take. They're not smarter than you. They're not luckier. They're not better test takers. They put in work that you can also put in.
You can do this, but you have to expect the very best from yourself.
Sorry but I strongly disagree with some of this. A lot of people struggle in their first year because of the adjustment to university life. I'm not saying that most people get 3.9s after that, but increasing your grades after first year is extremely common. Secondly, talking about terror and saying that you should feel like you have to get 100% on every test is really, really, genuinely, god awful advice. Putting outrageous and unrealistic pressure on yourself is how you flame out. Your goal should be to study as much as you can to achieve your maximum potential, and if you do badly on one test DON'T be hard on yourself, just try harder next time. It sounds like you've already identified the problem and have done some soul searching. Turn your work ethic around and the rest will come.
Also OP, you have NOT put yourself in one of the worst spots for a pre-med. A 3.2 GPA in your first year isn't close to sinking your dreams of becoming a doctor. I'll leave advice about transferring or not to others.
You're right that people commonly increase their grades after the first year, but it's the degree that's significant. People who land a 3.2, in my experience, just typically don't improve drastically. They could improve, even quite a bit, and get a ~3.6 in their future semesters. However, that averages to a 3.5. This is versus someone who, again, is the rare exception, who gets 3.9 or 4.0 their remaining years. That person averages a 3.7-3.8. It only takes a second to check the statistics to see that the latter person has a roughly 15% higher chance to get into medical school at just about every competitive MCAT score. What's it worth to you to go from a 70% acceptance rate to a 95%? We're on the pre-med boards, and I can tell you that the value of that is very high to people. I think the OP also values that very highly. This is all assuming that the OP is in the right half of that bell curve and also that something extraneous doesn't happen and grades suffer independently from ability.
Aiming to achieve a 100% on every exam is a great attitude for GPA. It is far from the most relaxing perspective. I like to run, but ask any runner: if you train 'as much as you can', you'll achieve less than if you train as much as you really can. I like this motivational video to illustrate this idea.
The idea is not to become a neurotic basket case and stress yourself into oblivion. Achieving 100% on any given college exam (with rare exceptions) is doable with less than 20 uninterrupted study hours.
You're doing the OP no favors by telling her to take it easy on herself. Currently, that is not the problem nor a solution to the actual problem. An over-correction is indeed possible, and flaming out is indeed a risk. However, I would wager that she would rather risk that than risk having another 3.2 semester.
Think about those stats though, a 70% acceptance rate when you're applying to 20+ schools is really good. I'd say that most people want to get into med school, not get into the #3 ranked research school. I also disagree that aiming for the best you can do will result in lower grades. Why would anyone think "Well I only want to do as well as I am able to so I won't study that hard!". Among pre-meds putting too much pressure on yourself can dramatically lower your grades due to poor test performance and reduce ability to cope with the workload (when you're constantly thinking you have to get high 90s on everything). If you get a 75 the healthy response, and the one that will result in a higher GPA, is to say "Man I really didn't work hard enough, I have to rectify this next time". Your advice fosters the idea that the common pre-med reaction of "CRAP CRAP CRAP CRAP CRAP I'VE NEVER GOING TO BE A DOCTOR CRAP CRAP CRAP *three hours of crying*" is appropriate and should be encouraged.
Cracking the whip could be useful for some obnoxious pre-med who thinks they're going to cruise in because their father is a big-wig surgeon. For most people, NOT being hard on yourself is what you have to work on. How can you effectively work on an essay due in 2 days when you feel like the world is ending because you got an 87 instead of a 95?
Think about those stats though, a 70% acceptance rate when you're applying to 20+ schools is really good. I'd say that most people want to get into med school, not get into the #3 ranked research school. I also disagree that aiming for the best you can do will result in lower grades. Why would anyone think "Well I only want to do as well as I am able to so I won't study that hard!". Among pre-meds putting too much pressure on yourself can dramatically lower your grades due to poor test performance and reduce ability to cope with the workload (when you're constantly thinking you have to get high 90s on everything). If you get a 75 the healthy response, and the one that will result in a higher GPA, is to say "Man I really didn't work hard enough, I have to rectify this next time". Your advice fosters the idea that the common pre-med reaction of "CRAP CRAP CRAP CRAP CRAP I'VE NEVER GOING TO BE A DOCTOR CRAP CRAP CRAP *three hours of crying*" is appropriate and should be encouraged.
Cracking the whip could be useful for some obnoxious pre-med who thinks they're going to cruise in because their father is a big-wig surgeon. For most people, NOT being hard on yourself is what you have to work on. How can you effectively work on an essay due in 2 days when you feel like the world is ending because you got an 87 instead of a 95?
It is ABSOLUTELY a great strategy to make A grades your goal for every class. It certainly worked for me. I EXPECTED an A, and settled for no less. If I felt complacent with Bs then I would have gotten many Bs.
Firstly, that 70% is for a year of application, not of applying to an individual school. Chances at each school are much, much less than that.
However, I completely agree that there is an upward boundary of appropriate self-criticism. I'm not saying go cry in a corner for 3 hours. This is about bearing the responsibility for successes and failures. When you get a 91% on an exam, you should be glad you got a solid grade and also wonder what you could have done to get those other 9%. Ask the person next to you if they got #14 right and how.
Humans evolved fear, anger, and anxiety as positive survival mechanisms. If you experience things like those because of poor personal performance, don't throw them away! Use them as a fire under you to become a better student. Personally, I facepalm when I make mistakes (ex: on exams) because I'm frustrated with myself. I don't suggest that for everyone, but find what drives you and use it. If it's panic/anxiety, use it!
Basically, this is about caring which is the root of motivation. If you care a lot about something, it is scary to see it threatened and provokes anger towards the threat. I'm going to share this little secret: To get into medical school, you have to want it a lot. You have to care about that goal a lot.
Now I feel like I have to add a disclaimer, and maybe rightly so: If you think your level of these emotions are high in an unhealthy way, then absolutely do what you can to tone it down. For instance, if you find yourself crying in the corner for 3 hours, you might consider learning a more positive method of motivation.
I agree with most of this, but the difference is that I think telling yourself (or the OP) you should get 100% on every test is what leads to the neurotic, unhealthy behaviour we're both talking about, which is all too common among pre-meds. Self-reflection and trying your hardest are what get you into med school, and it sounds like the OP has the first one down. How can you remain mentally healthy when every single time you don't get 100% on something you're letting yourself down? That's why I so strongly disagreed with this advice, while it may have worked for you it's a very dangerous way to think.