The Dreaded Cone Of Probability

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jetproppilot

jetproppilot

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AM I DREAMING?

Or does that stupid cone have the projected path of the new hurricane coming to New Orleans?

I was in the city for Katrina as alotta you remember.

Girlfriend is on call Labor Day...she stays, I stay.

At least we've got one of those built-in natural gas generators that powers the whole house.

And an assassin Cane Corso. (actually the sweetest dog but don't tell the inevitable bad guys)

Guess its time to read the gun thread and go buy a piece.

S hit.:help:
 
i think i will join you in finding a new gun.

i am on inpatient psych currently. a floor full of paranoid schizophrenics is the last place i want to be in the middle of a hurricane
 
jetproppilot said:
AM I DREAMING?

Or does that stupid cone have the projected path of the new hurricane coming to New Orleans?

I was in the city for Katrina as alotta you remember.

Girlfriend is on call Labor Day...she stays, I stay.

At least we've got one of those built-in natural gas generators that powers the whole house.

And an assassin Cane Corso. (actually the sweetest dog but don't tell the inevitable bad guys)

Guess its time to read the gun thread and go buy a piece.

S hit.:help:
Click to expand...

Dude, you know where I live. C'mon up. I have 2.5 acres for your dog to run in.

Oh, don't let this newspaper article bother you at all 😱

http://www.nola.com/ap/stories/index.ssf?/base/news-41/1219504445281460.xml&storylist=topstories
 
Was just in NO this past weekend. Will be paying a very close eye to that cone.

Frightening.
 
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I hate to say it but I am glad this thing decided to skip Florida, I am on call this weekend and I wouldn't have been able to leave.
I hope it dies down before it reaches the U.S.
 
nolagas said:
Sucks to be us.
Click to expand...


Hey NOLAGAS, I was born and raised in New Orleans. Lived through hurricanes Betsy and Camille. Speaking as a native, suckage is the price one pays to live in such an otherwise fascinating (third world) banana republic.

Let's pray for Gustav to come ashore at an uninhabited portion of Texas and only take out a few rabbits and tumbleweeds.

Sooner or later New Orleans is going to disappear courtesy of http://www.dailygalaxy.com/my_weblog/2008/08/is-a-mega-katri.html Pay particular to the bottom half of the story, where it goes into detail about attitudes and knowledge of New Orleans residents, regarding hurricane safety.
 
trinityalumnus said:
Hey NOLAGAS, I was born and raised in New Orleans. Lived through hurricanes Betsy and Camille. Speaking as a native, suckage is the price one pays to live in such an otherwise fascinating (third world) banana republic.

Let's pray for Gustav to come ashore at an uninhabited portion of Texas and only take out a few rabbits and tumbleweeds.

Sooner or later New Orleans is going to disappear courtesy of http://www.dailygalaxy.com/my_weblog/2008/08/is-a-mega-katri.html Pay particular to the bottom half of the story, where it goes into detail about attitudes and knowledge of New Orleans residents, regarding hurricane safety.
Click to expand...

JPP and NOLAGAS: here's the latest prediction, as of 1100 Eastern on Thursday. The storm will pass to the immediate west of New Orleans, which is the worst possible scenario for the city.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200807_5day.html#a_topad

Oh, take comfort in this fact: those post-Katrina pumps installed on the 17th Street canal, the Orleans Avenue canal, and the London Avenue canal were contracted to a Bush-connected friend, with no experience in projects of such a scale.
 
jetproppilot said:
Jet aims the thirty-ought-six.....

STAND DOWN, COP. PUT DOWN THE WEAPON AND LET THE KITTY GO OR I'LL DROP YOU LIKE A FOUR FOOT PUTT!"
:laugh:
Click to expand...

Your the kitty's hero!!!! Jet to the rescue......
 
Planktonmd said:
Are you staying in town for the storm?
Click to expand...

Havent decided, Plank.

CAT 3 or less, as long as it isnt coming up the mouth of the river, we'll probably stay.

But I'm packing up all the essentials....papers, licenses, degrees....

For Katrina when I stayed (on call....couldnt leave) I only took one change of clothes.

This time I'm taking most of my clothes and throwing them in the Monsta Truck.

At least this time the choice is mine.
 
jetproppilot said:
Havent decided, Plank.

CAT 3 or less, as long as it isnt coming up the mouth of the river, we'll probably stay.

But I'm packing up all the essentials....papers, licenses, degrees....

For Katrina when I stayed (on call....couldnt leave) I only took one change of clothes.

This time I'm taking most of my clothes and throwing them in the Monsta Truck.

At least this time the choice is mine.
Click to expand...
My hurricane plan is always: put the shutters up and try to leave town as early as possible if not on call.
Good luck my friend.
 
Jet,

Please,don't forget to pack the kitty.....He doesn't deserve to be left behind!!! He looks like he will fit quite nicely in the monsta truck.......


On the real, be safe in what ever decision you decide to make.....
 
The dreaded cone of probability is pushing this storm probability closer to NOLA. 😱

Be safe, NOLA dudes. Be safe.

-cop
 
What matters more than where the storm itself hits is where its storm surge goes. If there's a surge into Pontchartrain and the MR-GO, the levees, rebuilt or not, are gonna get overtopped, and New Orleans East and St. Bernard Parish are not going to fare well.

Current models are in pretty good agreement about a landfall west of New Orleans, let's see how well those predictions hold up, and what kind of storm surge such a track would bring.

Be safe out there, guys.
 
..out of of NOLA. Let me know if you need me to send the learjet to get you out. 😉
 
Is the fact that it seems to be heading a little farther west of NO a good thing? On the other hand predictions of a Cat 5 storm. If I recall Katrina hit as a Cat 3. Be safe Jet.

David Carpenter, PA-C
 
as a former "cone-watcher" i feel for you guys. the one thing i don't miss about florida: frances, jeane, and wilma.
guys, if you have the means to leave, gather your people and animals and get the f--k out.
so many have died already from this storm :-(
 
Hopefully the fact that we haven't heard anymore from the New Orleanians means they got the funk out.

If- IF- things stay on the current path New Orleans itself probably won't flood, but the Houma area and pretty much the whole West Bank are downright screwed.

This sucks. 🙁
 
My in-laws live in Harvey, which is on the west bank. Katrina flooded their house with 3 foot of water and now the predictions are that the west bank is going to get it as bad as the east bank did with Katrina, i.e., houses under water so that only the roofs show.


They put everything up as high as possible and evacuated today. Luckily they are resilient folks...they both had to flee Vietnam in 1975 and lost everything...so if their house is totaled, they will probably be just fine.


Oddly enough, after Katrina, I told them they should move up to KC to be closer to their grandkid. My father-in-law shrugged off my suggestion as said "don't they have tornados there?"
 
hope it works out ok for everybody!
 
Last edited:
just got back to new orleans. my place is fine and never actually lost electricity.

I had evacuated to Baton Rouge. It was hit pretty hard. I guess it is the price to pay for having so many huge trees.
 
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