Bundled payments will decimate income in radiology.
CMS is already clamping down hard. 50% reimbursement for repeat imaging on an inpatient is now being recommended to be 25% reimbursement for repeat imaging.
So if a patient gets a CT head, then a repeat CT head due to some new neuro symptoms as an inpatient, you will be reimbursed 25% the value of the original study. Even though you may not have been the radiologist who read the first study and the fact that the patient has new clinical findings.
Get ready to work for peanuts.
You didn't get the point. The hospital never get paid for CT scan, ED visit, Neurosurgery consult, GI consult, Neurology consult, Craniotomy, ... separately. In bundled payment, no such thing as pay per service exist. So the hospital will get paid for Epidural hematoma once. Now no matter how many CTs is done, MR is done or not, the hospital will get paid for example 2000 bucks. In this method, there is no such thing as 25 bucks or 50 bucks or 100 bucks for reading the repeat CT.
Most of the doctors will be hospital employees without fee for service. The concept of less money for second CT belongs to the fee for service model of payment. It does not belong to bundle payment.
On the other hand, I agree with your statement about CMS cut. It will be implemented sooner or later, just because bundled payment is not a sustainable model in US healthcare.
Generally speaking, the radiology exams will pay less per study in the future. The flip side is the effect it will have on the volume of studies. Have you ever noticed portable X-rays. They are done very frequently because they are cheap. A study a few years ago, showed they are useless on daily basis in ICU. However, everybody does it because it is considered cheap. Its cost is less than a cost of NG tube. So why not doing it after each NG placement?
Now imagine an MR brain costs 50 bucks. It will be like over the counter aspirin. Then everybody will get one at costco or wallmart.
Imagine a Virtual colonoscopy cost became 200 USD per study. Do you think a GI doc can bill for a colonoscopy for 1500 USD? The same for CTA coronary even if read by cardiologist? The same for many other stuff.