Usefulness of Interview Statistics for Individuals

[DrSmooth]

This seems to be the time of year when we are all talking about how likely so and so is to get into X school since they had/have an interview. I have read things like "50% of interviewees are accepted there, so you have a 50% chance". But then there seems to be a trend that some people interview and get a much higher than average percentage of acceptances, while others interview and get much lower than average. Are these simply the outliers and most people do actually get an average amount of acceptances relative to the schools where they interviewed, or is the average simply not useful in determining individual likelihood of gaining acceptance after an interview? Seems like a more precise statistic would be to look at how many acceptances an individual has at the end of interview season compared to the number of schools they applied to, and that would have represented their actual likelihood of gaining acceptance at any one school. So in a given room of applicants, one person might have an 80% shot, while another might have a 10% shot. Any thoughts or statistics that relate to this?

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[MiniMoo]

Eyes.. and brain... hurting...

Lol, sorry, I don't have much to add because this topic has been dissected ad nauseam with no clear conclusion. There is also an element of subjectivity in the admissions process that makes statistical analysis of acceptance odds difficult to determine.

 

[Morsetlis]

There is also an element of subjectivity in the admissions process that makes statistical analysis of acceptance odds difficult to determine.

The element of subjectivity involves the Interview Impressions and LORs. Those are the two most important elements post-interview (followed by cGPA, clinical, and MCAT).