Hey, FYI
I spoke to Mary Campbell during my interview in January, and she said that although come May 15th you will know what relative third you fall under on the WL (i.e, Upper, Middle, & Lower Third)
, UVM does not divulge the # of people on their waitlist (as this figure changes constantly).
However, I guess we could ask Admissions (or dig through MSAR) to find out the number of accepted people (not matriculants). If we get that number and subtract the normal class size, that's the amount off the WL, obviously. And, if we were to assume they WL everyone they interview but don't accept immediately, and that they don't outright reject anyone either (not really plausible), that's your maximum (and obviously very conservative) upper bound.
If I recall, I think they interview like 900 something, right? And the class is about 100? That leaves us, as a max, with 800 leftover for possible WL (or rejection too, if we get into that). Problem is ... I've never heard of any UVM rejection stats.
Another notion to consider is that most schools make WLs so that the Upper Third is usually a shoe in to get in later on, right? So, recall The number accepted - number matriculating = number off waitlist ... if this is approximately the upper third, then we can multiply that number by 3 and get a decent approximation thereof, of the total amount. And if they get into the Middle Third too, then obviously that total figure is even smaller than expected.
To me, that's the most realistic estimate of all, since UVM obviously has to reject some people outright after interviewing them. But obviously, this is all purely statistical speculation on my part.
But nonetheless, I wouldn't be surprised if that last approximation is close to the real thing. It makes sense, logically.