Good, well-trained, forward-deployable medical care can't be done on the cheap. The military has pushed the medical corps as far as they can, cut back staff/services/support as much as possible, all while simultaneously adding to everyone's panel and mission.
It's asinine... and docs and students are fed up.
The military knows what it's doing... they're just unwilling to pay what is necessary to recruit/retain good people, and unwilling to make any changes in the way they do business. The leadership is not clueless... they're just procrastinating; kicking the can down the road... hoping the collapse will come some time after they retire. They will have to be forced to change... and the only way to do that is for docs to exercise the only option they have. In short, walk away... cut off their pipeline of signed-up-and-obligated-to-serve slave labor.
It'll come to a head, and it may come to a draft For my own part, I think they would do it and not think twice.
The military will fight tooth-and-nail against a general draft for enlisted folks. There are too many people in command positions today who remember what it was like during the Vietnam era... and their answer to a general draft will not only be a resounding "No"... it'll be "Hell no!!"
Physicians are different. We're a fairly motivated and well-educated group, and even if you draft, you're likely to get solid people, who aren't drug users, and at least know the job. We're also a small minority in the US, and the days of sky-high respect and deference to physicians are gone... we're seen as just another commodity.
Even worse, the public is sufficiently fed-up with medical care in general that they won't help us fight it. Plenty of problems in medicine are structural, but get blamed on the docs, including long waits in the ER, 15-minute appointment slots in their HMO, increasing co-pays and deductibles, and declining benefits. People don't see physicians driving yugos (they have no idea how much harder docs are working these days to maintain even the flat income growth we've had since the mid-90's), so they assume the docs are making it at their expense. That generates resentment, and along with the usual class-warfare crap, has largely depleted the reservior of goodwill that our profession once enjoyed (my opinion).
I think we're on our own on this one... I don't expect any significant help from the public.