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No it's not decided. Kennedy has changed his mind before on critical decisions after the preliminary vote.
In one celebrated case decided in 1992, Rehnquist initially assigned Kennedy to write a majority opinion for five justices allowing prayers at public school graduations. In the end, Kennedy ended up writing the opinion for a different five-justice majority striking down the graduation prayers. According to several accounts, Kennedy simply changed his mind during the writing process.
Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/03/29/justices-meet-friday-to-vote-on-health-care-case/#ixzz1qjRMJEJC
That's interesting, though I have to think that if it's only happened once, the decision is probably set.
In the interest of discussion, I saw this article randomly on Google News. It has some quotes from the former Solicitor General Charles Fried that I'd read before. He seems quite shocked at the tone of the arguments.