In the spirit of continuing to add something to this thread to give us something to read in the meantime since I can't seem to get anything else done, I'd like to run some stats by you to see if I'm thinking clearly or not. It seems that about 30% of applicants last year did not match in round 1? (and there should be a bit more this year, probably?) If that's right, does anyone know how many of those applicants did not receive any interviews at all to begin with? (i.e., did 30% of applicants who ranked sites not match, or 30% of the entire registered pool?) And then, if I'm recalling it correctly, weren't there about 250 slots open in the clearing house with about 800 applicants left unmatched? Anyone know what percentage of those sites were college counseling centers? I ask because that's what I'm interested in.
Sorry to dampen the mood with such questions, and yes I know they've been answered in previous threads but I can't find them right now! I certainly hope to match but I'm trying to prepare myself with a realistic mindset if it doesn't work out.
Thanks, and I hope everyone is holding up okay! (and yes, I cleaned my apartment from top to bottom, as well, in order to avoid thinking about all this)
Hi africadreaming so excited to hear from you.
Less than 48 hours until this dreadful waiting game is over!
So let's see if we can figure this out together.
Last year, originally 3,890 people registered for the match. However, 221 people withdrew or did not submit ranks leaving 3,669 applicants who submitted rankings for the match. 846 (23%) out of these 3669 (applicants who submitted ranks) did not match. So there was a 23% non-match rate for applicants who submitted ranks.
However, 278 positions remained unfilled and were offered in the Clearinghouse (74 APA accredited and 204 non-accredited sites). I don't know how many of these positions were filled but if we assume that 100% were filled, then this would leave the total remaining unplaced applicants somewhere between 568 and 789 (since some or all of the 221 applicants who withdrew or did not submit rankings may have participated in the clearinghouse) after clearinghouse, for a grand total of between a 15%-20% of unplaced applicants after clearinghouse.
Here is a link to the 2010 match stats.
http://www.appic.org/match/5_2_2_1_12_match_about_statistics_general_2010.html
So this year Greg sent out an email on January 5th stating that:
APPIC MATCH NEWS
---
As of December 31, 2010, the total numbers of applicants and
internship sites registered to participate in the 2011 APPIC Match
were:
- 4,064 registered applicants (excludes 40 who registered but
subsequently withdrew)
- 3,214 positions offered by 705 registered internship sites
(654 of these registered sites are APPIC members)
These numbers reflect an increase of 343 applicants and an increase
of 57 positions as compared to last year at this time. Furthermore,
the number of participating internship sites has increased by 15,
representing 4 fewer APPIC-member sites and 19 more non-member sites
as compared to last year.
The applicant registration numbers reflect the largest year-to-year
increase since the first APPIC Match was conducted in 1999.
IMPORTANT NOTE: These numbers change daily and are only a "snapshot"
as of December 31 of each year. The final numbers of participating
sites and applicants will be significantly different from those
presented above. For example, in each of the past twelve years, more
than 200 applicants withdrew from the Match after registering.
So I guess this year may depend on how many people withdrew or did not submit ranks for the match. However, just doing some rough estimates it won't be as bad as 30% not matching but it could be that in match 1 between 850 and 1000 people don't match if the match follows similar patterns to previous years. I took 4064 and assumed that 194 more people (5.7% (based on last year's withdrawal rate) of 4,104 is 234 = 40 (already withdrawn)+ 194) would withdraw or not submit ranks leaving 3870 applicants who submitted ranks;
I then subtracted 289 (positions that will be left over after the match- 9% of total positions offered), from the total positions (3,214) leaving a total of 2,925 positions that would be filled in match 1. This would result in a total of 945 unmatched applicants for match 1 this year, or a rate of a little less than 24.5% of applicants that would go unmatched in phase 1.
Of course these are rough estimates. I may have lost all logic along the way, so jump in. I am obviously quite crazy that I have spent time doing this, but I guess this is my way of distracting myself.
😀
😕
!
