Acceptance calculation? Does it apply to you?

[skiz knot]

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I have heard a GENERAL rule that if you add your MCAT score and 10 X BCPM GPA > 65 has about a 90% acceptance rate and < 65 has a 90% likelyhood of no acceptances.


e.g. mcat =34
sci gpa = 3.2 x 10=32

34 + 32 = 66 > 65 = 90% likelyhood of being accepted somewhere

Anyone else ever hear of something like this?

Anyone want to share their calculations? Accepted yes/no?

 

[Alexander99]

I have heard a GENERAL rule that if you add your MCAT score and 10 X BCPM GPA > 65 has about a 90% acceptance rate and < 65 has a 90% likelyhood of no acceptances.


e.g. mcat =34
sci gpa = 3.2 x 10=32

34 + 32 = 66 > 65 = 90% likelyhood of being accepted somewhere

Anyone else ever hear of something like this?

Anyone want to share their calculations? Accepted yes/no?

That makes absolutely no sense. That means that if your formula gives you a score of 66, then you have a 90% chance of being accepted but if you get one less point (by getting one less point on the MCAT for example), you now have a 10% chance of getting in. I'm pretty sure it doesn't work that way.

 

[exmike]

I've heard about that formula but 90% is ridiculous even if you have amazing stats.

Lets take the national average. 3.6 +30

That means a 66 will give you a 50% chance of acceptance since last years acceptance rate was around 50%

If anything a 65 will give you a 40-45% chance.

 

[hakksar]

"Lets take the national average. 3.6 +30

That means a 66 will give you a 50% chance of acceptance since last years acceptance rate was around 50%"

Actually you are misinterpreting the data. A GPA of 3.6 and a MCAT of 30 are the average of students who are accepted not the average of students who apply. The average for students who apply (of which about 50% are accepted) is actually lower. In addition, he was talking about BCPM GPA which averages a little less then the 3.6 GPA that AAMC uses. I am not sure if I believe the calculation but your argument that it is not accurate does not make sense.

 

[Gleevec]

No that doesnt work at all.

The process is a random roll of the dice, you get a chance to weigh the dice in your favor with your application and interview, but ultimately med schools roll the dice for ya.

 

[MoosePilot]

The formula doesn't work in number of schools applied to, which schools were applied to, or any ECs. I mean to compare someone with minimum numbers straight out of school with a nurse, say, with ten years of hospital work but the same numbers...

Too many factors to reduce to a formula. If it weren't, that would be a nice formula, though. 🙂

 

[exmike]

"Lets take the national average. 3.6 +30

That means a 66 will give you a 50% chance of acceptance since last years acceptance rate was around 50%"

Actually you are misinterpreting the data. A GPA of 3.6 and a MCAT of 30 are the average of students who are accepted not the average of students who apply. The average for students who apply (of which about 50% are accepted) is actually lower. In addition, he was talking about BCPM GPA which averages a little less then the 3.6 GPA that AAMC uses. I am not sure if I believe the calculation but your argument that it is not accurate does not make sense.

you're right, i shouldve taken the average of applicants. 3.6/27 which is a 63.

I agree, there is no forumula except for the whim of the adcomm.

 

[Termwean]

national average MCAT is a 24

 

[exmike]

national average MCAT is a 24

average of applicants is a 27