A lot of doctors cant do it. And if a lot cant do it, then those situations are no longer atypical. Its similar to what I said to another post. You are saying if stars line up. If there are no divorce, no medical emergencies, no career issues ,etc then yes you should reach 10m if you dont spend like crazy in 30 years, and assuming past performance equals future performance.
Also also you are including pretax money in that 10M number. Most of this in your example is from 401k. That's pretax. So take a few M off that number.
And you underestimate expense in VHCOL areas, especially with the student loans we are graduating with today and home/rental costs.
And you are using present 10M because you are using present contribution #s. No one knows what 10M is worth in 30 years from now. In the past 3-4 years, the value of your money went down significant.
Assuming 3% interest rate, your 10M today is worth 24.3M in 30 years. To enter the top 1% in wealth today, you need ~15M today.
Lets ask again, how many doctors can save 24.3 M post tax for retirement?
Me: you can have a normal BMI. All you need to do is literally just exercise regularly and burn more calories than you consume.
You: most Americans are obese. And if they can't be in shape, then I can't do it either. You're underestimating the difficulty of 20 mins of exercise and my inability not to snack before bed.
Yup, it sounds that ridiculous. You can stick to your victim mentality, or you can just max out one retirement account and one Roth for 30 years, and retire a multimillionaire.
Few notes:
- I'm not underestimating the expenses, I live in a HCOL area myself. I'm not frugal by any means.
-I have kids
-i had loans, paid them off moonlighting through residency.
- Inflation historically is 2.4% in last 20 years and 2.2% in last 100 years. If you're going to use a 3% inflation rate over the next 30 years, I'm going to use a 10% historical s&p return rate and blow your numbers out of the water.
-nobody uses after tax money when calculating or talking about NW. First its not practical, because everyone's tax rate varies widely. Second, capital gains taxes are a bargain compared to income taxes.
-I don't really need to enter the top 1% wealth or care where it's at. It skewed by the likes of pro athletes, hollywood stars, entrepreneurs, billionaires, trust fund babies etc. I just need to accumulate enough to provide me steady returns that allow me to replace my income so I can maintain my QOL indefinitely.
-the contribution limits of retirement accounts are increased proportionally with inflation by the IRS, specifically to account for erosion of purchasing power by your retirement age. So just continue maxing your retirement account and inflation is accounted for.
I'm just a hospitalist, all you anesthesiologists supposedly have a much higher earning potential than me. I'm on track to have a NW of 5M around age 40. I don't think there's anything special about me. If I don't contribute another penny and just don't touch my nest egg, I'll have over 25M by retirement age. If I can do it, you can do it.